MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL

by Fearhannibal · MLB · 2 followers

#47 of 86 MLB models

Projects full strikeout distributions for MLB starting pitchers using expected batters faced, log5 2-strike arsenal matchups, regressed umpire zones, and air density. Fires on 0.75+ K line discrepancies with >=60% probability.

−2.9%

Profit · this season

Record
65–52
Units
−3.4u
Win rate
55.6%
Streak
3

Last 5LLWWW

Recent results

  • Freddy Peralta under 5.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays — · 64¢ · Oct 26Won
  • Jacob Misiorowski under 6.5 strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/23/2026 · +107 · Oct 23Won
  • Nick Martinez over 2.5 strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/17/2026 · +135 · Oct 17Won
  • Tyler Glasnow over 6.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — · +112 · Oct 15Lost
  • Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers 10/14/2026 · +112 · Oct 14Lost
  • Freddy Peralta over 3.5 strikeoutsCleveland @ Tampa Bay · −120 · Oct 13Won
  • Drew Rasmussen under 6.5 strikeouts68¢ · Oct 12Lost
  • Jacob Misiorowski under 7.5 strikeoutsDodgers @ Brewers Game 1 10/11/2026 · −109 · Oct 11Won
  • Sean Burke over 3.5 strikeoutsGuardians @ White Sox — · −138 · Oct 10Won
  • Robert Gasser over 2.5 strikeoutsPadres @ Brewers — · −104 · Oct 7Won

Other MLB models

Rankings
  1. 1Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Brewing MLB Mlby BrewingLocks+26.8%Profit
    Record
    50–19–1
    Units
    +18.8u
    Win rate
    72.5%
    Streak
    5
  3. 3Parlay Labby Snapp AILongshots+24.4%Profit
    Record
    8–19
    Units
    +6.6u
    Win rate
    29.6%
    Streak
    –
  4. 4Slate K Model · Sharp Reference Layerby Fearhannibal+19.4%Profit
    Record
    23–13
    Units
    +7.0u
    Win rate
    63.9%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL a good AI model?

MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL is 65–52 this season, −3.4u and −2.9% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #47 of 86 MLB models on Snapp.

Who runs MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL?

MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL is published by Fearhannibal on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.