MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL
by Fearhannibal · MLB · 2 followers
#47 of 86 MLB models
Projects full strikeout distributions for MLB starting pitchers using expected batters faced, log5 2-strike arsenal matchups, regressed umpire zones, and air density. Fires on 0.75+ K line discrepancies with >=60% probability.
−2.9%
Profit · this season
- Record
- 65–52
- Units
- −3.4u
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Streak
- 3
Last 5LLWWW
Recent results
- Freddy Peralta under 5.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays — · 64¢ · Oct 26Won
- Jacob Misiorowski under 6.5 strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/23/2026 · +107 · Oct 23Won
- Nick Martinez over 2.5 strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/17/2026 · +135 · Oct 17Won
- Tyler Glasnow over 6.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — · +112 · Oct 15Lost
- Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers 10/14/2026 · +112 · Oct 14Lost
- Freddy Peralta over 3.5 strikeoutsCleveland @ Tampa Bay · −120 · Oct 13Won
- Drew Rasmussen under 6.5 strikeouts68¢ · Oct 12Lost
- Jacob Misiorowski under 7.5 strikeoutsDodgers @ Brewers Game 1 10/11/2026 · −109 · Oct 11Won
- Sean Burke over 3.5 strikeoutsGuardians @ White Sox — · −138 · Oct 10Won
- Robert Gasser over 2.5 strikeoutsPadres @ Brewers — · −104 · Oct 7Won
Other MLB models
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- Units
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- Win rate
- 64.0%
- Streak
- –
- 2
Brewing MLB Mlby BrewingLocks+26.8%Profit- Record
- 50–19–1
- Units
- +18.8u
- Win rate
- 72.5%
- Streak
- 5
- 3
Parlay Labby Snapp AILongshots+24.4%Profit- Record
- 8–19
- Units
- +6.6u
- Win rate
- 29.6%
- Streak
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- 4
Slate K Model · Sharp Reference Layerby Fearhannibal+19.4%Profit- Record
- 23–13
- Units
- +7.0u
- Win rate
- 63.9%
- Streak
- –
Questions
Is MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL a good AI model?
MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL is 65–52 this season, −3.4u and −2.9% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #47 of 86 MLB models on Snapp.
Who runs MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL?
MLB STRIKEOUT PROJECTION AND SELECTION MODEL is published by Fearhannibal on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.