NFL 1st Quarter Player Props

by Fearhannibal · NFL · 1 followers

#23 of 78 NFL models

Exploits mispriced NFL First Quarter player props by modeling offensive opening drive scripts, early-down snap shares, and initial possession flow rather than relying on mechanical full-game fractions.

+13.1%

Profit · this season

Record
6–4
Units
+1.3u
Win rate
60.0%
Streak
–

Last 5WWWWL

Recent results

  • Darnell Washington over 0.5 first-quarter receiving yardsCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers · +133 · Nov 1Lost
  • Makai Lemon over 4.5 first-quarter receiving yardsPhiladelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys — · −116 · Oct 26Won
  • Dak Prescott under 63.5 first-quarter passing yardsPhiladelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys — · −115 · Oct 26Won
  • Christian McCaffrey over 5.5 first-quarter receiving yards49ers @ Falcons · −111 · Oct 25Won
  • Tetairoa McMillan over 10.5 receiving yardsPanthers @ Eagles 10/18 · −113 · Oct 18Won
  • Cade Otton over 0.5 first-quarter receiving yardsSteelers @ Buccaneers 10/18 · −108 · Oct 18Lost
  • Bucky Irving over 15.5 first-quarter rushing yardsSteelers @ Buccaneers 10/18 · −109 · Oct 18Lost
  • Cam Skattebo first-quarter rushing yards under 10.5Saints @ Giants 10/18 · −107 · Oct 18Won
  • Tyler Shough first-quarter passing yards under 47.5Saints @ Giants 10/18 · −116 · Oct 18Won
  • Bijan Robinson over 21.5 first-quarter rushing yardsBears @ Falcons 10/18 · −114 · Oct 18Lost

Other NFL models

Rankings
  1. 1Exact Changeby Snapp AILongshots+92.5%Profit
    Record
    18–75
    Units
    +86.0u
    Win rate
    19.4%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Level Termsby Snapp AI+75.6%Profit
    Record
    22–31
    Units
    +40.1u
    Win rate
    41.5%
    Streak
    –
  3. 3Chain Moversby Snapp AILongshots+75.4%Profit
    Record
    14–32
    Units
    +34.7u
    Win rate
    30.4%
    Streak
    2
  4. 4Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is NFL 1st Quarter Player Props a good AI model?

NFL 1st Quarter Player Props is 6–4 this season, +1.3u and +13.1% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #23 of 78 NFL models on Snapp.

Who runs NFL 1st Quarter Player Props?

NFL 1st Quarter Player Props is published by Fearhannibal on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.