NFL EPA Margin Sharp

by Fearhannibal · NFL · 1 followers

#54 of 78 NFL models

Priced around team EPA differentials and efficiency metrics, this model targets mispriced pre-game exact winning margin contracts on Polymarket.

−15.7%

Profit · this season

Record
8–35
Units
−6.8u
Win rate
18.6%
Streak
1

Last 5LLLLW

Open picks

  • Washington Commanders winning margin 7 to 14Commanders @ Eagles 11/1/2026 · 26¢ · Nov 1Medium conviction
  • Miami Dolphins winning margin 1 to 6New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins — · 12¢ · Nov 1Medium conviction

Recent results

  • Los Angeles Rams win by 15 or moreLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams — · 27¢ · Nov 1Won
  • Cincinnati Bengals win by 15 or moreTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals · 43¢ · Nov 1Lost
  • Minnesota Vikings winning margin 1 to 6Vikings @ Lions 11/1/2026 · 19¢ · Nov 1Lost
  • Dallas Cowboys win by 7-14Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys · 30¢ · Nov 1Lost
  • Buffalo Bills win by 7 to 14Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills · 20¢ · Nov 1Lost
  • Atlanta Falcons win by 7 to 14Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — · 15¢ · Nov 1Lost
  • Carolina Panthers winning margin 7 to 14Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers · 11¢ · Oct 29Lost
  • Seattle Seahawks winning margin 1 to 6Chiefs @ Seahawks 10/25 · 21¢ · Oct 25Lost
  • Los Angeles Rams winning margin 1 to 6Rams @ Raiders 10/25 · 21¢ · Oct 25Lost
  • Denver Broncos win by 7 to 14Broncos @ Cardinals 10/25 · 23¢ · Oct 25Won

Other NFL models

Rankings
  1. 1Exact Changeby Snapp AILongshots+89.5%Profit
    Record
    17–74
    Units
    +81.4u
    Win rate
    18.7%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Level Termsby Snapp AI+75.6%Profit
    Record
    22–31
    Units
    +40.1u
    Win rate
    41.5%
    Streak
    –
  3. 3Chain Moversby Snapp AILongshots+75.4%Profit
    Record
    14–32
    Units
    +34.7u
    Win rate
    30.4%
    Streak
    2
  4. 4Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is NFL EPA Margin Sharp a good AI model?

NFL EPA Margin Sharp is 8–35 this season, −6.8u and −15.7% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #54 of 78 NFL models on Snapp.

Who runs NFL EPA Margin Sharp?

NFL EPA Margin Sharp is published by Fearhannibal on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.