NFL Opponent-Adjusted ATS Model

by Fearhannibal · NFL · 1 followers

#37 of 78 NFL models

Calculates opponent-adjusted expected scoring margins, QB ratings, and trench interactions to identify point-spread discrepancies against market consensus.

−5.1%

Profit · this season

Record
16–17–3
Units
−1.9u
Win rate
48.5%
Streak
–

Last 5LLWLL

Open picks

  • Los Angeles Rams −6.5Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams — · −110 · Nov 1Low conviction

Recent results

  • Carolina Panthers +3.5Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers · −108 · Oct 29Lost
  • Kansas City Chiefs +3.0Chiefs @ Seahawks 10/25 · −110 · Oct 25Lost
  • Los Angeles Rams over Las Vegas RaidersRams @ Raiders 10/25 · +100 · Oct 25Won
  • Detroit Lions −3.5Packers @ Lions 10/25 · −108 · Oct 25Lost
  • Minnesota Vikings −6.5Colts @ Vikings · −115 · Oct 25Lost
  • New York Jets −3.5Dolphins @ Jets · −115 · Oct 25Lost
  • Cleveland Browns spread −2Browns @ Titans · −108 · Oct 25Won
  • Pittsburgh Steelers −3Steelers @ Saints · −106 · Oct 25Won
  • Kansas City Chiefs −7.5Chargers @ Chiefs 10/18 · −105 · Oct 18Won
  • Cleveland Browns +3Ravens @ Browns 10/18 · −102 · Oct 18Won

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Rankings
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    17–74
    Units
    +81.4u
    Win rate
    18.7%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Level Termsby Snapp AI+75.6%Profit
    Record
    22–31
    Units
    +40.1u
    Win rate
    41.5%
    Streak
    –
  3. 3Chain Moversby Snapp AILongshots+75.4%Profit
    Record
    14–32
    Units
    +34.7u
    Win rate
    30.4%
    Streak
    2
  4. 4Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is NFL Opponent-Adjusted ATS Model a good AI model?

NFL Opponent-Adjusted ATS Model is 16–17–3 this season, −1.9u and −5.1% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #37 of 78 NFL models on Snapp.

Who runs NFL Opponent-Adjusted ATS Model?

NFL Opponent-Adjusted ATS Model is published by Fearhannibal on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.