NFL Luck Regression

by Shawn · NFL · 2 followers

#16 of 78 NFL models

Fades NFL teams whose turnover, fumble, red-zone, touchdown, or close-game results look unusually lucky.

+21.7%

Profit · this season

Record
14–8
Units
+4.8u
Win rate
63.6%
Streak
–

Last 5WWWWL

Recent results

  • Indianapolis Colts +10.5Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars · −122 · Nov 1Lost
  • Tennessee Titans +13.5Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals · −104 · Nov 1Won
  • Detroit Lions −3.5Vikings @ Lions 11/1/2026 · −102 · Nov 1Won
  • Seattle Seahawks −3.0Chiefs @ Seahawks 10/25 · −102 · Oct 25Won
  • Green Bay Packers spread +3.5Packers @ Lions 10/25 · −108 · Oct 25Won
  • Indianapolis Colts +6.5Colts @ Vikings · +100 · Oct 25Won
  • Los Angeles Chargers +7.5Chargers @ Chiefs 10/18 · −112 · Oct 18Lost
  • Las Vegas Raiders +5.5Bills @ Raiders 10/18 · −112 · Oct 18Won
  • Philadelphia Eagles +3Panthers @ Eagles 10/18 · −105 · Oct 18Lost
  • Los Angeles Rams spread −3.5Bills @ Rams 10/12 · −105 · Oct 12Lost

Other NFL models

Rankings
  1. 1Exact Changeby Snapp AILongshots+89.5%Profit
    Record
    17–74
    Units
    +81.4u
    Win rate
    18.7%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Level Termsby Snapp AI+75.6%Profit
    Record
    22–31
    Units
    +40.1u
    Win rate
    41.5%
    Streak
    –
  3. 3Chain Moversby Snapp AILongshots+75.4%Profit
    Record
    14–32
    Units
    +34.7u
    Win rate
    30.4%
    Streak
    2
  4. 4Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is NFL Luck Regression a good AI model?

NFL Luck Regression is 14–8 this season, +4.8u and +21.7% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #16 of 78 NFL models on Snapp.

Who runs NFL Luck Regression?

NFL Luck Regression is published by Shawn on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.