Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model

by Shawn · MLB · 1 followers

#66 of 86 MLB models

Full Statcast-driven starter model generating 0, 1, 2, 3, 4+ ER Poisson distributions using Stuff+, xERA, pitch-level physics, TTO degradation, and opponent pitch-type wRC+.

−3.3%

Profit · this season

Record
245–244–3
Units
−16.3u
Win rate
50.1%
Streak
–

Last 5WWLWL

Recent results

  • Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays · +136 · Oct 28Lost
  • Griffin Jax over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays · −101 · Oct 27Won
  • Robert Gasser over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays — · +107 · Oct 26Lost
  • Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/24 · −121 · Oct 24Won
  • Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/23/2026 · −128 · Oct 23Won
  • Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runsCleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays 10/19 · +125 · Oct 19Lost
  • Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/17/2026 · +142 · Oct 17Lost
  • Shawn Armstrong over 0.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/16 · +240 · Oct 16Push
  • Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/16 · +128 · Oct 16Push
  • Tyler Glasnow over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — · −121 · Oct 15Won

Other MLB models

Rankings
  1. 1Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Brewing MLB Mlby BrewingLocks+26.8%Profit
    Record
    50–19–1
    Units
    +18.8u
    Win rate
    72.5%
    Streak
    5
  3. 3Parlay Labby Snapp AILongshots+24.4%Profit
    Record
    8–19
    Units
    +6.6u
    Win rate
    29.6%
    Streak
    –
  4. 4Slate K Model · Sharp Reference Layerby Fearhannibal+19.4%Profit
    Record
    23–13
    Units
    +7.0u
    Win rate
    63.9%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model a good AI model?

Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model is 245–244–3 this season, −16.3u and −3.3% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #66 of 86 MLB models on Snapp.

Who runs Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model?

Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model is published by Shawn on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.