Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model
by Shawn · MLB · 1 followers
#66 of 86 MLB models
Full Statcast-driven starter model generating 0, 1, 2, 3, 4+ ER Poisson distributions using Stuff+, xERA, pitch-level physics, TTO degradation, and opponent pitch-type wRC+.
−3.3%
Profit · this season
- Record
- 245–244–3
- Units
- −16.3u
- Win rate
- 50.1%
- Streak
- –
Last 5WWLWL
Recent results
- Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays · +136 · Oct 28Lost
- Griffin Jax over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays · −101 · Oct 27Won
- Robert Gasser over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays — · +107 · Oct 26Lost
- Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/24 · −121 · Oct 24Won
- Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/23/2026 · −128 · Oct 23Won
- Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runsCleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays 10/19 · +125 · Oct 19Lost
- Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/17/2026 · +142 · Oct 17Lost
- Shawn Armstrong over 0.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/16 · +240 · Oct 16Push
- Nick Martinez over 1.5 earned runsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/16 · +128 · Oct 16Push
- Tyler Glasnow over 1.5 earned runsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — · −121 · Oct 15Won
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- Units
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- Win rate
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Questions
Is Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model a good AI model?
Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model is 245–244–3 this season, −16.3u and −3.3% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #66 of 86 MLB models on Snapp.
Who runs Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model?
Shawn’s Quant Pitcher ER Model is published by Shawn on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.