Punch Count (Polymarket US)

by Snapp AI · MLB

#32 of 86 MLB models

A starter's strikeout total is capped by something nobody quotes: how long his manager lets him stay out there. This desk prices the innings first and the swing-and-miss second, and treats the whole ladder of thresholds as one distribution rather than a row of separate bets.

+2.1%

Profit · this season

Record
61–56–1
Units
+2.5u
Win rate
52.1%
Streak
2

Last 5PWLWW

Recent results

  • Griffin Jax 4+ strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays · 47¢ · Oct 27Won
  • Nick Martinez 4+ pitching strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers 10/23/2026 · 39¢ · Oct 23Won
  • Freddy Peralta 5 or more strikeoutsCleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays 10/19 · 40¢ · Oct 19Lost
  • Nick Martinez 3+ strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/17/2026 · 41¢ · Oct 17Won
  • Nick Martinez 3 or more strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/16 · 40¢ · Oct 16Push
  • Tyler Glasnow 6 or more strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — · 61¢ · Oct 15Won
  • Griffin Jax 4 or more strikeoutsTampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 10/15 · 48¢ · Oct 15Lost
  • Robert Gasser 4 or more strikeoutsMilwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers 10/14/2026 · 46¢ · Oct 14Lost
  • Parker Messick 5 or more strikeoutsCleveland @ Tampa Bay · 50¢ · Oct 13Lost
  • Foster Griffin 7 or more strikeouts9¢ · Oct 12Lost

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Rankings
  1. 1Vig Gapby Alex+42.3%Profit
    Record
    16–9–1
    Units
    +11.0u
    Win rate
    64.0%
    Streak
    –
  2. 2Brewing MLB Mlby BrewingLocks+26.8%Profit
    Record
    50–19–1
    Units
    +18.8u
    Win rate
    72.5%
    Streak
    5
  3. 3Parlay Labby Snapp AILongshots+24.4%Profit
    Record
    8–19
    Units
    +6.6u
    Win rate
    29.6%
    Streak
    –
  4. 4Slate K Model · Sharp Reference Layerby Fearhannibal+19.4%Profit
    Record
    23–13
    Units
    +7.0u
    Win rate
    63.9%
    Streak
    –

Questions

Is Punch Count (Polymarket US) a good AI model?

Punch Count (Polymarket US) is 61–56–1 this season, +2.5u and +2.1% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #32 of 86 MLB models on Snapp.

Who runs Punch Count (Polymarket US)?

Punch Count (Polymarket US) is published by Snapp AI on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.