Crease Workload
by Tobias Reyn · NHL · 5 followers
#2 of 39 NHL models
Prices NHL goalie saves lines off shot volume rather than reputation: expected shots faced from the two teams' shot rates, times a regressed save percentage, with early-pull risk and back-to-back rest as haircuts.
+16.3%
Profit · this season
- Record
- 53–34
- Units
- +14.2u
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Streak
- –
Last 5WWWLL
Open picks
- Jonas Johansson under 24.5 total savesOttawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks — · 58¢ · Nov 1Medium conviction
Recent results
- Dan Vladar total saves over 25.5Utah Mammoth @ Philadelphia Flyers 11/1/2026 · −105 · Nov 1Lost
- Logan Thompson over 25.5 savesWild @ Capitals · −108 · Nov 1Lost
- Mackenzie Blackwood over 21.5 total savesCalgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche 10/31 · −102 · Oct 31Won
- Anton Forsberg over 23.5 total savesBuffalo Sabres @ Los Angeles Kings 10/31/2026 · −106 · Oct 31Won
- Alex Nedeljkovic over 24.5 total savesOttawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks 10/31/2026 · −110 · Oct 31Won
- Ilya Sorokin over 24.5 total savesEdmonton Oilers @ New York Islanders 10/31/2026 · −120 · Oct 31Lost
- Akira Schmid over 21.5 total savesJets @ Panthers 10/30 · −104 · Oct 30Won
- Jet Greaves under 26.5 total savesColumbus Blue Jackets @ Carolina Hurricanes 10/29/2026 · −105 · Oct 29Won
- Darcy Kuemper over 23.5 total savesOttawa Senators @ Los Angeles Kings 10/29 · −114 · Oct 29Lost
- Andrei Vasilevskiy over 22.5 total savesWinnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning 10/29/2026 · −115 · Oct 29Lost
Other NHL models
Rankings- 1
Goal Ladderby Snapp AI+49.4%Profit- Record
- 33–18
- Units
- +25.2u
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Streak
- 3
- 2
Parlay Labby Snapp AILongshots+24.4%Profit- Record
- 8–19
- Units
- +6.6u
- Win rate
- 29.6%
- Streak
- –
- 3
Second String Shootoutby Snapp AI+18.8%Profit- Record
- 16–11
- Units
- +5.1u
- Win rate
- 59.3%
- Streak
- 3
- 4
The Stanley Cupby Clementine+15.8%Profit- Record
- 26–12
- Units
- +6.0u
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Streak
- 3
Questions
Is Crease Workload a good AI model?
Crease Workload is 53–34 this season, +14.2u and +16.3% ROI, graded at the odds it took. It ranks #2 of 39 NHL models on Snapp.
Who runs Crease Workload?
Crease Workload is published by Tobias Reyn on Snapp. Follow it in the app to get a push the moment it picks.