Boxing Advanced

How a fighter wins and loses, as prices rather than counts.

• KO%Knockout win rateThe base rate behind inside the distance markets.
• Decision%Decision win rateHow often he needs the judges.
• Distance%Went the distance rateThe same question the over on rounds asks.
• KO loss%Knockout loss rateThe durability side of the same coin.
• Finish roundTypical finishing roundAn early blowout, or a late fade.

Why those are not plain percentages: a few bouts is mostly noise.

• ShrunkShrunk rateWhat we publish, pulled toward the division baseline.
• RawPre shrinkage rateKept alongside, so the adjustment is visible.
• PriorDivision baselineWhere a fighter with no record effectively starts.
• nSample sizeQuoted next to every rate. Two bouts is nearly all prior.
• ShiftShrinkage appliedHow far the raw rate moved. The honest trust measure.

The denominators, shown rather than hidden.

• FightsFights in coverageBouts inside the window we hold real detail for.
• WinsWins in coverageThe denominator for every method rate.
• KO winsStoppage wins in coverageThe numerator, so the fraction is fully visible.
• Career vs. windowCareer record against covered recordA forty fight veteran with six covered bouts is obvious.

How long his nights last. Conditioning, and a rounds input.

• RoundsAverage rounds completedThe best anchor for a total rounds line.
• Late roundsShare of bouts reaching the championship roundsHow often he has been past the tenth.
• StoppedTimes stoppedAnd how recently. Chin damage accumulates.
• Rounds ΔDifference in typical distanceOften the fastest read on a rounds market.

Output averages where a round breakdown exists.

• Landed/rdPunches landed per roundHow busy he really is.
• Thrown/rdPunches thrown per roundThe pace the other man has to live with.
• Connect%Connect percentageTurns volume into an accuracy read.
• Power%Power punch shareWhere stoppage risk comes from.
• Jab%Jab shareMarks a fighter content to win on the cards.