College football Advanced

The full grading suite, plus what those players did as pros.

• Offense gradeOffensive player gradePer snap, judged on execution.
• Defense gradeDefensive player grade
• Passing gradeWhat survives the jump to a harder league.
• Coverage gradeThe assignment played, snap by snap.
• Route gradeReceiving route gradeHow he won the route before the throw.
• Run block gradeRun blocking gradeSplit by gap and zone scheme.
• Grade to pro productionCollege grade against pro productionWhich college numbers translate, and which do not.

Throw by throw, so a wide open offence compares to a pro style one.

• BTT%Big time throw rateShare of throws genuinely difficult and high value.
• TWP%Turnover worthy play rateThrows that deserved a pick. Far more predictive.
• Accuracy%Adjusted accuracy percentagePlacement, with drops and throwaways handled.
• RTGPasser ratingThe familiar number, kept beside the real one.
• TTTAverage time to throwSeconds from snap to release.
• ADOTAverage depth of targetHow far downfield his average throw goes.
• Pressure to sack rateAn early read on pocket poise.

Sliced by throw depth, pressure, blitz, play action and screens.

• Deep pass rateDeep attempt rateThrows twenty yards or more. Style before quality.
• Deep accuracy%Deep ball accuracyPlacement on the throws that win games.
• Pressure comp%Completion percentage under pressureWhere college quarterbacks separate most.
• Blitz comp%Completion percentage against the blitzReading the defence, or reading the play sheet.
• Play action rateInflates numbers, so it has to be known.
• Comp% diffCompletion percentage differenceAgainst the rate expected on that mix of throws.
• YPA diffYards per attempt differenceSo a screen heavy passer is not read as a deep one.

Both lines per snap, where the talent gap shows first.

• PBEPass blocking efficiencyPressure per snap, sacks weighted. Higher is better.
• True set PBETrue pass set blocking efficiencyGenuine drop backs only.
• Pass block gradePass blocking gradePer snap quality, quiet reps included.
• Snap gradeSnapping gradeInvisible until it is the whole story.
• PRWRPass rush win rateBeats his man in the time a play lasts.
• PRPPass rush productivityPressure per rush snap, weighted to sacks.
• Total pressuresStabilises much faster than a sack count.

Snaps actually covered and runs actually met, man and zone apart.

• Yards per coverage snapYards allowed per coverage snapStops an untested corner looking elite.
• Forced incompletion%Forced incompletion rateThe defender broke it up himself.
• Passer rating againstPasser rating allowedWhat quarterbacks produce throwing his way.
• Man and zone splitMan and zone coverage splitOften the difference between a fit and a bust.
• Stop%Stop rateRun tackles that make the play a failure.
• Missed tackle%Missed tackle rateAttempts that do not get finished.

Charted play by play, with coverage and alignment splits.

• Elusive ratingMissed tackles forced and yards after contact.
• Breakaway%Breakaway yardage shareCan hide an ordinary back behind two great runs.
• YCOYards after contactYards his line did not provide.
• YPRRYards per route runThe fairest comparison across different offences.
• Contested catch%Contested catch rateCatch rate with a defender in position.
• Man YPRRYards per route run against man coverageThe closest college gets to a professional test.
• Slot YPRRYards per route run from the slotHeld apart, because it is a different job.

Our own play by play layer across the FBS.

• EPAExpected points addedOne currency across a hundred and thirty teams.
• Success ratePlay success ratePlays that kept the drive on schedule.
• Explosive%Explosive play rateDrives college scoring more than execution does.
• PROEPass rate over expectedIdentity, separated from score effects.
• Sec/playSeconds per playThe biggest reason college totals differ so widely.
• PPDPoints per driveFairer than per game: it takes tempo out.
• WPWin probabilityLive, from score, time, field position and down.