Esports Advanced

Round win rates by what a team could actually afford.

• Eco win%Eco round win rateRounds won with no money. Where upsets begin.
• Semi win%Semi buy win rateThe most commonly misplayed economy state.
• Force win%Force buy win rateA real stylistic fingerprint.
• Full buy win%Full buy win rateEven footing. The closest to a pure skill measure.
• Pistol%Pistol round win rateTwo rounds that decide far more than two.
• Conversion%Pistol conversion rateWhether a pistol win becomes the next two rounds.
• Eq. valueAverage equipment valueA summary of how well they manage money.

The events inside a round that a kill line cannot see.

• Opening duel%Opening duel win rateThe most predictive small event in Counter-Strike.
• Trade ratioTrade kill ratioStructured teams against merely talented ones.
• Clutch%Clutch win rateRounds won one against many.
• KASTKill, assist, survived or tradedShare of rounds where he did something that mattered.
• RatingComposite player ratingHow the scene itself ranks players.
• Hit areaShot placementHead, chest, stomach or legs. A raw aim read.

Map outcomes by side and half, with rounds as a spread not a mean.

• T side%Attacking side round win rateOn some maps a completely different team.
• CT side%Defending side round win rateThe larger of the two on most modern maps.
• 1st half%First half round win rateBefore either side has had to adjust.
• 2nd half%Second half round win rateWhere in game coaching shows up.
• OT map%Overtime map win rateDerived on its own, so it cannot distort the splits.
• Median roundsMedian total roundsA couple of overtimes drag the mean upward.
• P25 / P75Rounds quartilesThe honest shape of a totals market.

Recent form against a player's own baseline, not the field.

• L5 / L10Last five and last ten windowEvery metric here, differenced against the season.
• KPRKills per roundFair across a 16 to 2 and a double overtime map.
• DPRDeaths per roundExposes bad fights even while fragging well.
• ADRAverage damage per roundThe most stable short window read.
• K/DKill death ratioKept because it is what everyone quotes.
• KP%Kill participationHow to read a support role fairly.
• GPMGold per minuteWith last hits and net worth per game alongside.

How a best of three plays out, and how much they have played.

• Series win%Series win rateWhat the headline price refers to.
• After map 1Series win rate after taking map oneExactly what an in series market is built on.
• Comeback%Comeback rateWinning after dropping the first map.
• Sweep%Sweep rateWhere correct score value tends to hide.
• Days sinceDays since last matchCuts both ways between rust and rest.
• Maps L7 / L14Maps played in the last seven and fourteen daysWhere a deep run starts costing rounds.

For League and Dota: which side wins, and which objectives they want.

• Blue%Blue side win rateBy league and patch. Sometimes a large effect.
• Red%Red side win rateThe side where the counter pick sits.
• FB%First blood rateWhether they want an early fight.
• First tower%First tower rateThe first real map control event.
• First baron%First baron rateWhat most often closes a League game out.
• First dragon%First dragon rateWhat an early game team stacks.
• Avg. killsAverage total killsWith the median beside it.

What they draft, what they ban, and how the picks perform.

• Pick%Pick rateBy patch and by team.
• Ban%Ban rateOften says more about the meta than picks do.
• Win%Win rate on the pickNot always what its pick rate implies.
• KDAKills, deaths and assists ratioWith kill participation alongside.
• CS/minCreep score per minutePlayed as a carry, or as a facilitator.
• Early / mid / lateWin rate by game lengthWhether a draft wants to fight now or scale.