Football Advanced

Every snap graded on its own merit, zero to one hundred.

• Offense gradeOffensive player gradePer snap, judged on execution not on the result.
• Defense gradeDefensive player grade
• Passing gradeHow he threw it, which often disagrees with the box score.
• Coverage gradeThe assignment played, wherever the throw went.
• Pass rush gradePass rushing gradeRush quality per snap, sacks or not.
• Route gradeReceiving route gradeHow he won the route, before the throw.
• Tackle gradeTackling gradeTackle quality per attempt.

Every throw charted for depth, timing, pressure and quality.

• BTT%Big time throw rateShare of throws genuinely difficult and high value.
• TWP%Turnover worthy play rateThrows that deserved a pick. Beats interceptions.
• Accuracy%Adjusted accuracy percentagePlacement, with drops and throwaways handled.
• TTTAverage time to throwSeconds from snap to release.
• ADOTAverage depth of targetHow far downfield the average throw goes.
• Pressure to sack rateHow often pressure ends as a sack.
• Positive EPA%Positive expected points shareShare of his plays that moved the team forward.

Pressure allowed, charted to the man who let it in.

• PBEPass blocking efficiencyPressure per snap, sacks weighted. Higher is better.
• True set PBETrue pass set blocking efficiencyGenuine drop backs only, screens stripped out.
• Pass block gradePass blocking gradePer snap quality, quiet reps included.
• Pressures allowedSacks, hits and hurries, by the blocker responsible.
• Hurries allowedForced to move or rush the throw, no contact.
• Hits allowedStruck as or just after he released.
• Sacks allowedCharged to one blocker, not the whole offence.

What the blocking created, and what the carrier added.

• Gap gradeGap scheme run block gradePulling and down blocking runs.
• Zone gradeZone scheme run block gradeZone runs, where linemen move together.
• Elusive ratingMissed tackles forced and yards after contact.
• YCOYards after contactYards with a defender already on him.
• Breakaway%Breakaway yardage shareFlags a back whose average rests on three plays.
• Missed tackles forcedHow many defenders he made miss.
• Gap and zone carriesScheme carry splitHow his work divides, which is how you judge a fit.

Receiver play measured per route, not per target.

• YPRRYards per route runCleanest receiver measure: it prices in opportunity.
• aDOTAverage depth of targetSets what his catch rate ought to look like.
• Contested catch%Contested catch rateCatch rate with a defender in position.
• Drop%Drop rateShare of catchable passes he did not hold.
• Slot rateSlot alignment rateSnaps inside rather than out wide.
• Route participationRoute participation rateShare of pass plays he actually ran a route on.
• Snap shareShare of the offence's snaps he was out there for.

Judged on snaps covered, plus who travelled with whom.

• Yards per coverage snapYards allowed per coverage snapStops a corner being flattered by never being tested.
• Forced incompletion%Forced incompletion rateHe broke it up, rather than the throw missing.
• Passer rating againstPasser rating allowedWhat quarterbacks post throwing at him.
• Coverage snaps per targetRespect written as a number.
• Man and zone splitMan and zone coverage splitPlenty are good in one and lost in the other.
• Shadow rateShadow coverage rateHow often he followed one receiver around.

Beating a blocker, and killing runs before they start.

• PRWRPass rush win rateBeats his blocker inside the time a play lasts.
• True set PRWRTrue pass set pass rush win rateGenuine drop backs only. The fair edge comparison.
• PRPPass rush productivityPressure per rush snap, weighted to sacks.
• Total pressuresSacks, hits and hurries. Steadier than sacks alone.
• Stop%Stop rateRun tackles that count as a failure for the offence.
• Depth of tackleAverage depth of tackleRun stuffer against cleanup man.
• Missed tackle%Missed tackle rateAttempts he failed to finish.

The third of the game most numbers ignore.

• Kicker gradeKicking gradePer attempt, with distance and conditions in.
• Punter gradePunting gradePlacement and flight, not distance alone.
• Returner gradeReturn gradeIncludes the decisions not to return at all.
• Hang timePunt hang timeWhether coverage arrives in time.
• Net avgNet punting averageDistance after the return is subtracted.
• In20Punts inside the twentyThe placement job done properly.

Positional tracking, so separation and cushion are measured.

• CPOECompletion percentage over expectedAgainst the difficulty of his own throws.
• xComp%Expected completion percentageWhat an average passer manages on the same throws.
• RYOERush yards over expectedYards beyond what the blocking made available.
• SeparationAverage separation at catchRoom when the ball arrives.
• CushionAverage cushion at snapHow far off him the nearest defender lines up.
• IAYAverage intended air yardsWhere throws are aimed, incompletions included.
• AggressivenessAggressiveness rateThrows into tight coverage. Style, not quality.

Our own efficiency layer, computed from every play we hold.

• EPAExpected points addedWhat one play was worth. Football's universal currency.
• Success ratePlay success ratePlays that kept the drive on schedule.
• Explosive%Explosive play rateGains big enough to change a drive alone.
• Net EPA/playNet expected points added per playOffence added minus defence conceded.
• PROEPass rate over expectedPlay calling identity, game script removed.
• WPWin probabilityLive, from score, time, field position and down.
• SOSStrength of scheduleHow hard the games actually were.