Markets

Prediction markets

Exchange prices as live probability.

Kalshi · Polymarket

Connected. 3 stat groups, 11 named stats.

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Live prices5

Probabilities straight from the book, no bookmaker margin inside.

  • LastLast traded priceImplied chance in cents on the dollar.
  • Bid / askBest bid and offerThe spread shows how firm the number is.
  • DepthOrder book depthSize resting at each price.
  • VolumeTraded volume
  • OIOpen interestContracts still outstanding: conviction, not churn.
Movement3

How belief has shifted since the open.

  • Δ pricePrice changeMove in implied probability from the open.
  • VWAPVolume weighted average priceWhere the money actually went in.
  • RLMReverse line movementPrice one way, volume the other.
Versus our model3

Our number against the traded one.

  • EdgeModel edgeGap in points between our price and theirs.
  • EVExpected valueReturn on a unit stake if we are right.
  • Cross-venue ΔCross-venue differenceTwo exchanges pricing the same outcome apart.

Questions about Prediction markets

What does the Prediction markets connector cover?

The Prediction markets connector reads 11 named stats, organized into 3 stat groups. Exchange prices as live probability.

How are the Prediction markets stats organized?

The 11 stats sit inside 3 stat groups. Each stat carries its code, its spelled out name where that adds something, and a short note on what it means.

How do I get Prediction markets analysis from Snapp?

Download the Snapp app, or message Snapp and name the stat or stat group you want. Either way you get the read in seconds. Free to start.

Part of the Snapp stat catalog. 1075 named stats across 17 categories.

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