Hawks vs. SpursFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalFrost Bank Center · San Antonio
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 20 | 42 | 31 | 30 | 123 |
| SAS | 39 | 30 | 26 | 21 | 116 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 224.5 53¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: PROJECTION; conservative pace-efficiency estimate is 229.0 points versus the exact 224.5 Kalshi rung.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-0 on this game · +89% return
- Game total over 224.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION; conservative pace-efficiency estimate is 229.0 points versus the exact 224.5 Kalshi rung.
- Tempo mismatch: Atlanta recorded 112.5 possessions in its Oct. 5 opener; San Antonio's 2025 regular/preseason baselines were 102.7/104.8, so the Spurs likely slow Atlanta but should not erase its push.
- Efficiency inputs: Atlanta's 2026 preseason opener was 109.3 ORTG/117.3 DRTG; San Antonio's 2025 regular baseline was 116.6 ORTG/108.8 DRTG.
- Aaron Wiggins, Lu Dort, CJ McCollum, David Jones Garcia, and Tobias Harris have unresolved or conflicting availability information; Harris is listed OUT in the same-day article but only Questionable in the warehouse.
Questions
Who won Hawks vs. Spurs?
The Hawks won 123–116 on Thursday, Oct 8, 2026.