Pelicans vs. HeatFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalKaseya Center · Miami
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP | 36 | 28 | 32 | 22 | 118 |
| MIA | 33 | 40 | 20 | 35 | 128 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-1 on this game · −100% return
- Game total under 234.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Miami's 116.8 pace versus New Orleans' 101.7 pace suggests Miami is likelier to dictate tempo, but both pace_l10_delta values are 0.0.
- Current preseason efficiency read: New Orleans 114.1 ORtg versus Miami 89.9 DRtg; Miami 110.4 ORtg versus New Orleans 108.2 DRtg.
- 109.25 blended possessions times the efficiency matchup gives approximately 231 points, about 3.5 below the same-rung 234.5 market line.
- Andrew Wiggins remains a game-time decision with illness; a rotation-changing update can invalidate the efficiency read.
Questions
Who won Pelicans vs. Heat?
The Heat won 128–118 on Thursday, Oct 8, 2026.