Brown vs. Rhode IslandFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalCentreville Bank Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BROW | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| RHOD | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 42.5 −110
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP composite 74/100 (B): clears the 70-point fire threshold.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-2 on this game · +13% return
- Brown Bears to win−100%Lost
Taken at 39¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Polymarket US moneyline is open, accepting orders, and Brown YES is quoted at 39c.
- Holder snapshots show current positions, but not every Brown position was a fresh same-morning fill.
- Game total under 42.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP composite 74/100 (B): clears the 70-point fire threshold.
- 5 of 7 current comparable team games stayed under 42.5; Brown is 2-for-2 and Rhode Island 3-for-5.
- PWP total projection 39.8 versus 42.5 posted: 6.4% projection edge.
- Rhode Island has produced 80 and 52 points in two of its last five, showing meaningful scoring volatility.
- Rhode Island −3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Rhode -3.5 wins by 4; Rhode -4 pushes on exactly 4.
- ProphetX quotes -3.5 at 50.74c (-103) versus -4 at 52.83c (-112): the better-settling rung is cheaper.
- Our -3.5 leg has no push protection and loses if Rhode Island wins by 3 or fewer.
- Game total under 47.5+72%Won
Taken at 58¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Brown’s 2026 totals are 24 and 27; Rhode Island’s latest three are 40, 80, and 41, with the 80-point game the clear outlier.
- Both offenses are negative EPA/play: Brown -0.0666 and Rhode Island -0.0309; success rates are only 43.4% and 40.2%.
- Recent production is modest: Brown scored 10 on 214 yards last week; Rhode Island scored 18 with 1.4167 points per drive.
- Rhode Island’s 80-point Stony Brook result shows the scoring distribution has a dangerous upper tail.
- Brown Bears spread +3.5+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- the same Brown +3.5 is -110 DraftKings, -106 FanDuel, and -115 Pinnacle.
- ProphetX offers the identical 3.5 line 6, 15 American cents above the named-book prices; the dislocation is the thesis.
- Recent box scores show a narrow 10, 14 Brown loss and 18, 22 Rhode Island loss, supporting a competitive-margin read.
- Brown and Rhode Island each had four turnovers in their latest listed game; one more short field can turn a close game into a four-point loss.
Questions
Who won Brown vs. Rhode Island?
The Rhode Island won 13–10 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.