Campbell vs. North Carolina CentralFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalO'Kelly-Riddick Stadium
Campbell4–1
38–31Final
North Carolina Central2–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMP | 24 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 38 |
| UNC | 14 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 31 |
Top model pick, graded
WonNorth Carolina Central Eagles +13.5 −112
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP blended score projection: Campbell 32.2, North Carolina Central 25.8; 6.4-point margin is well inside +13.5.
How the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +5% return
- North Carolina Central Eagles +13.5+89%Won
Taken at −112 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP blended score projection: Campbell 32.2, North Carolina Central 25.8; 6.4-point margin is well inside +13.5.
- Current-season margin proxy covers +13.5 in 3 of NCCU's 5 games; Campbell covered -13.5 in only 2 of 5.
- NCCU is 22-9 at home under Trei Oliver and 2-0 at home this season.
- Pinnacle is only +10.5 on the home side; the three-point market dispersion is a meaningful warning.
- Game total under 60.5−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- latest four NCCU game totals were 51, 64, 52, 33, 50.0 average.
- Latest four Campbell game totals averaged 55.5 points, below ProphetX's 60.5.
- NCCU's latest offense posted -0.106 EPA/play, 37.3% success, and 0.625 points per drive.
- Campbell's latest offense produced 3.214 points per drive and its recent totals include 64 and 56.
- Campbell Fighting Camels to win+25%Won
Taken at 80¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Campbell posted +0.1437 EPA/play, 50.0% success rate and 3.214 points/drive in its latest 2026 game; NCCU posted -0.1064, 37.3% and 0.625.
- Reference label: SHARP REFERENCE; the reference supports Campbell, while ProphetX supplies the cheaper actionable price.
- Most likely loss: NCCU's home-field advantage overwhelms a thin early-season efficiency sample and produces the outright upset.
Questions
Who won Campbell vs. North Carolina Central?
The Campbell won 38–31 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.