Cornell vs. GeorgetownFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalCooper Field

Cornell1–1

35–14Final

Georgetown0–3

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
CORN	14	0	14	7	35
GEOR	0	7	0	7	14

Top model pick, graded

Won

Cornell Big Red to win 71¢

CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks

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How the picks did

Models went 8-0 on this game · +87% return

Cornell Big Red spread −7.53 models agree
+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
3 modelsHouse Rules, Key Number CFB +1
Why 3 models like it
House Rules
- Cornell -7.5 loses at exactly 7; adjacent Cornell -7 pushes at exactly 7.
- Both comparison prices are ProphetX VENUE SELF-REFERENCE, not an independent sharp reference.
Key Number CFB
- The sharp reference is Cornell -7 at -119 / -7.5 at -134 and Pinnacle Cornell -8.5 at -142; ProphetX offers the better -7.5 rung.
- Cornell's PFF team grade is 77.0 versus Georgetown's 60.9; the defensive gap is 82.4 to 58.4.
- Cornell's current advanced profile has only one charted 2026 game, so the projection is sample-thin.
Long Way Home
- Latest team-game EPA: Cornell +0.2065/play versus Georgetown +0.0377; the 0.1688 gap supports a larger margin than this price implies.
- Defensive EPA allowed also favors Cornell: -0.0541 versus Georgetown +0.0797 in the latest game.
- Cornell's latest opponent was Yale while Georgetown faced Columbia; opponent quality is not normalized here.
Cornell Big Red to winFavorite2 models agree
+41%Won
Taken at 71¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, D1 Winner
Why 2 models like it
CFB Heater
- Cornell is only 1-1 this season and Georgetown is 0-3; early-season form has limited sample size.
D1 Winner
- Efficiency family favors Cornell: latest charted off EPA/play 0.2065 versus Georgetown 0.0377; defense -0.0541 versus 0.0945.
- Market family agrees: Cornell moved from roughly -7.5 to -8.5, while DraftKings offers the best current moneyline at -290.
- Georgetown has home-field advantage; Cornell must travel, and the model includes only modest situational credit.
Game total over 45.52 models agree
+91%Won
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
2 modelsKickoff Ledger, Long Way Home
Why 2 models like it
Kickoff Ledger
- Cornell's latest game produced 38 points with +0.2065 offensive EPA/play, 51.6% success, and 2.92 points per drive.
- Georgetown's defense allowed +0.0797 EPA/play in that sample, while its offense averaged only 1.18 points per drive.
- One-game efficiency and scoring samples create substantial variance around a 49-50 fair-total estimate.
Long Way Home
- PROJECTION edge; NO REFERENCE: Cornell posted +0.2065 offensive EPA/play, 50.0% success and 2.923 points/drive in its lone 2026 game.
- The teams' latest games totaled 55 points (Cornell 38, Georgetown 17), while the market total is 45.5.
- Most likely loss: Georgetown stalls and Cornell controls the clock, leaving 45 points or fewer.
Cornell Big Red −7.5
+89%Won
Taken at −112 on FanDuel
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Cornell posted +0.2065 offensive EPA/play and 51.6% success in its latest game; Georgetown allowed +0.0797 defensive EPA/play.
- Georgetown managed only +0.0377 offensive EPA/play, 41.7% success, and 1.18 points per drive; Cornell allowed -0.0541 defensive EPA/play.
- Both teams had seven days' rest after Sept. 26 games; no short-week disadvantage.
- The efficiency sample is only one 2026 game per team, so the fair-spread estimate is fragile.

Questions

Who won Cornell vs. Georgetown?

The Cornell won 35–14 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.