Davidson vs. San DiegoFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalTorero Stadium
Davidson2–3
14–63Final
San Diego1–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVI | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
| SAN | 21 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 63 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-6 on this game · −100% return
- Davidson Wildcats spread +14.5−100%Lost
Taken at 43¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The adjacent +14 contract pushes on a San Diego 14-point win; that same outcome is a full win on +14.5.
- The leg loses if San Diego wins by 15 or more; this is not a projection of the game's margin.
- Davidson Wildcats spread +14−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The 2.5-point ladder reversal is concentrated around 17, a recurring CFB margin neighborhood immediately above +16.5.
- Davidson posted +0.217 offensive EPA/play; San Diego allowed +0.425 defensive EPA/play in the latest games.
- Casey Bullock and Dom Nankil were confirmed by official team previews; no QB gate failure.
- Davidson loses if San Diego wins by 15 or more; the Toreros' pass grade is 83.6 versus Davidson's 60.5.
- Davidson Wildcats spread +20.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade: 72/100 (B); projected margin clears the spread-value bar.
- Projection: 36.4 Davidson / 28.0 San Diego points, a Davidson +8.4 margin; +20.5 gives 28.9 points of cushion.
- Season scoring/allowing: Davidson 24.4/33.6; San Diego 22.3/48.3 through kickoff.
- Spread moved from San Diego -14.5/-15 to -20.5; the market strongly disagrees with this small-sample projection.
- Davidson Wildcats +18.5−100%Lost
Taken at −111 on DraftKings
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Efficiency: Davidson posted +0.217 offensive EPA/play; San Diego allowed +0.426 defensive EPA/play in the latest charted games.
- QB/injury: Casey Bullock is confirmed and delivered 345 yards and 5 TDs; Dom Nankil had 323 yards and 0 TDs.
- Only one game per team has usable advanced EPA data; the early-season sample is exceptionally thin.
- Davidson Wildcats to win−100%Lost
Taken at 11¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Edge class: PROJECTION; rough Davidson win estimate 15% versus ProphetX's +800, 11.11¢ implied price.
- 2026 results are 2-2 for each team; San Diego has allowed 59, 49, and 38 points in its three losses.
- Davidson has wins scoring 28 and 27, while San Diego suffered 32-point and 42-point losses to UC Davis and Idaho State.
- Most likely loss: San Diego's home offense exploits Davidson and turns the matchup into another multi-score result.
- Davidson Wildcats spread +18.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION; current-season EPA/play favors Davidson's offense (+0.217) over San Diego's (-0.0096), with a 48.4% versus 38.1% success rate.
- San Diego's current defensive EPA allowed is +0.4246, while its last three losses were by 33, 42, and 32 points.
- Pinnacle's main number is San Diego -15 / Davidson +15 at +121, supporting the dog direction; it is not the exact ProphetX rung.
- Most likely loss: San Diego converts its matchup advantage into a quick lead and wins by 19 or more.
Questions
Who won Davidson vs. San Diego?
The San Diego won 63–14 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.