Dayton vs. DrakeFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalDrake Stadium (IA)
Dayton3–0
22–30Final
Drake1–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAYT | 0 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 |
| DRAK | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 |
Top model pick, graded
WonDrake Bulldogs to win 42¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: official live warehouse state has Drake ahead 7-0 with 4:05 left in the 1st quarter.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −21% return
- Dayton Flyers to win−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Dayton Flyers spread −3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Dayton is 3-0 with a +16.3 recent scoring margin; Drake is 1-3 with a -15.2 margin.
- Pinnacle lists Dayton -4.5 at +102; ProphetX offers the better -3.5 number at +100.
- The extra point versus the sharp reference provides key-number protection on the Dayton side.
- Most likely loss: Drake's home field and a late score turn a narrow Dayton win into a non-cover.
- Drake Bulldogs to win+138%Won
Taken at 42¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- official live warehouse state has Drake ahead 7-0 with 4:05 left in the 1st quarter.
- Drake's live drive included a 51-yard touchdown pass; that concrete game-state swing supports a higher Drake win estimate than the pregame favorite gap.
- game_markets captured no sharp or consensus line; this is a venue-only live projection.
- Dayton entered 3-0 with a +16.3 recent scoring margin, while Drake was 1-3 at -15.2; the pregame quality gap can reassert.
Questions
Who won Dayton vs. Drake?
The Drake won 30–22 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.