Delaware State vs. UAlbanyFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| UALB | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 45.5 51¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: UAlbany produced 0 points, -0.3576 EPA/play and a 2.9% explosive rate last week.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −2% return
- Delaware State Hornets to win−100%Lost
Taken at 46¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, D1 WinnerWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Omnibus and Forecastication’s displayed records are not confirmed CFB-only; their current position sizes and timing are less transparent.
D1 Winner- Composite estimate: Delaware State win probability 56%, versus roughly 45.5% market-implied.
- Delaware State’s latest three charted games: +0.1353 offensive EPA/play and 44.8% success rate.
- Delaware State’s defense allowed 59 points to South Florida and posted +0.2584 defensive EPA allowed/play recently.
- Game total under 45.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- UAlbany produced 0 points, -0.3576 EPA/play and a 2.9% explosive rate last week.
- Delaware State's defense posted -0.0564 EPA/play allowed and a 9.2% explosive rate allowed against Towson.
- My scoring read is 42, 44 points; 45.5 requires multiple above-baseline drives from this matchup.
- Delaware State's offense produced 0.1453 EPA/play and 2.833 points per drive against Towson.
- UAlbany Great Danes spread −2.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The related-market mismatch implies the spread is priced near a toss-up despite the venue's stronger home-win price.
- Most likely loss: UAlbany wins by 1-2, or Delaware State wins outright, so the spread misses despite the moneyline signal.
Questions
Who won Delaware State vs. UAlbany?
The UAlbany won 28–3 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.