Fordham vs. LehighFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalGoodman Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LEHI | 0 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
Top model pick, graded
WonLehigh Mountain Hawks spread −21.5 −112
Why D1 Winner likes it: Lehigh is 5-0 with +97 point differential; Fordham is 1-4 with -76.
D1 WinnerDown 8% this season · 237 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-1 on this game · +42% return
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks spread −21.5+89%Won
Taken at −112 on DraftKings
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Lehigh is 5-0 with +97 point differential; Fordham is 1-4 with -76.
- Lehigh leads the latest graded team card 93.7-61.5 overall and 90.1-65.4 defensively.
- Per-play data favors Lehigh: -0.318 defensive EPA allowed and 43.3% success rate in its charted game.
- Lehigh’s opponent-adjusted per-play sample is thin: only one 2026 Lehigh game is charted.
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks −21.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP estimate: Lehigh by 24.5, three points above the posted -21.5 line.
- 58% cover estimate versus ProphetX's 51.69c price implies about +12% expected return.
- Lehigh is 5-0 with a 168-71 scoring edge; Fordham is 1-4 and has been outscored 89-165.
- Lehigh has only one game of current-season advanced EPA charting, so the efficiency sample is thin.
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks wins 1st Half+37%Won
Taken at 73¢ on Kalshi
Kickoff ScriptUp 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Official team previews identify Derek Morgan and Gunnar Smith, clearing the unresolved-QB gate.
- Lehigh's recorded 3.29-second pace value is anomalous, so first-half possession and scoring-rate projection is not dependable.
- Fordham Rams to win−100%Lost
Taken at 7¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Game total under 44.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle also posted under 44.5 at -115, supporting the direction.
- Fordham scored 0, 7, and 16 points in its three listed 2026 losses; its latest offense posted -0.1775 EPA/play.
- Lehigh's latest offense managed -0.1132 EPA/play and 1.5385 points per drive against Pennsylvania.
- Lehigh scored 35, 45, and 44 points in three earlier 2026 wins; its offense can clear the total alone.
Questions
Who won Fordham vs. Lehigh?
The Lehigh won 34–0 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.