Gardner-Webb vs. Charleston SouthernFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBuccaneer Field
Gardner-Webb1-4
12–10Final
Charleston Southern2-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARD | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| CHAR | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
Top model pick, graded
WonCharleston Southern +7.5 spread 51¢
Why House Rules likes it: ProphetX prices the adjacent contracts nearly identically: +7.5 at 50.5¢ (-102) versus +7 at -104.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1403 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −35% return
- Charleston Southern +7.5 spread+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX prices the adjacent contracts nearly identically: +7.5 at 50.5¢ (-102) versus +7 at -104.
- Gardner-Webb spread −7.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Charleston Southern also posted -0.34 offensive EPA/play and 0.15 points per drive in 2025, supporting a margin rather than merely a win.
- Gardner-Webb has allowed +0.23 defensive EPA/play in 2026, leaving room for explosive home scoring.
- Game total over 48.5−100%Lost
Taken at 41¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2026 completed totals average 49.2 points across both teams: Gardner-Webb 52.8 over five, Charleston Southern 44.8 over four.
- Gardner-Webb's last three totals were 47, 64, and 71; Charleston Southern's latest two were 46 and 65.
- Only nine combined games support the projection; the mean is just 0.7 points above 48.5.
Questions
Who won Gardner-Webb vs. Charleston Southern?
Gardner-Webb won 12-10 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.