Marist vs. StetsonFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalSpec Martin Memorial Stadium

Marist2–2

28–14Final

Stetson1–3

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
MARI	0	14	14	0	28
STET	0	7	7	0	14

Top model pick, graded

Won

Marist Red Foxes total under 49.5 56¢

Models went 2-0 on this game · +74% return

Marist Red Foxes total under 49.5
+79%Won
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
Stetson +14 spread
0%Push
Taken at 58¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Stetson +14 pushes if Marist wins by exactly 14; Stetson +13.5 loses on that same margin.
- 4.167% exact-14 margin frequency: 457 of 10,967 completed NCAAF regular/postseason games in the historical CFB warehouse.
- ProphetX quotes +14 at 57.98c (-138), only 1.65 cents above +13.5 at 56.33c (-129).
- The 4.167% figure is all-CFB historical mass, not a Marist, Stetson matchup-specific estimate.
Game total under 49.5
+69%Won
Taken at 59¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Edge class: PROJECTION, four 2026 finals show Marist at 24.8 points scored and 14.8 allowed.
- Stetson scored 7, 18 and 7 in three FCS games; its 45 came against Webber International.
- Marist held Presbyterian to 7 and allowed 13 or fewer in two FCS matchups.
- Most likely loss: a Stetson short-field turnover or special-teams touchdown breaks the low-total script.

The Marist won 28–14 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.