Murray State vs. North DakotaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalAlerus Center
Murray State1–4
28–55Final
North Dakota4–1
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MURR | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 28 |
| NORT | 0 | 24 | 28 | 3 | 55 |
Top model pick, graded
WonMurray State Racers spread +35.5 −110
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP composite grade 73/100 (B): clears the 70-point fire threshold.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −52% return
- Murray State Racers under 59.5 total−100%Lost
Taken at 59¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Murray State Racers spread +35.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP composite grade 73/100 (B): clears the 70-point fire threshold.
- North Dakota has covered this number in only 1 of its last 5; Murray State +35.5 covers in 4 of those 5 North Dakota games.
- North Dakota's last three games all stayed within 35.5 points, meeting the preferred three-game streak.
- North Dakota owns a 4-1 record and 92.7 PFF team grade versus Murray State's 1-4 record and 69.5 grade.
- Game total under 60.5−100%Lost
Taken at 59¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION, Murray State's latest offense posted 6 points, 190 yards, -0.346 EPA/play, and 0.583 points per drive.
- Most likely loss: North Dakota reaches 50-plus points and Murray State adds two scores, sending the game over 60.5.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks spread −35.5−100%Lost
Taken at 55¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- North Dakota posted 520 yards and 42 points last week; Murray managed 190 yards and 6 points.
- Murray's recent losses include 14-38 to Middle Tennessee, 0-59 to Oklahoma State, and 6-46 to Southern Illinois.
- North Dakota scored 42, 47, and 62 in three of its other 2026 games; the matchup is materially stronger for North Dakota than its Nebraska result.
- The most likely loss is a late Murray touchdown after North Dakota pulls starters in a blowout.
Questions
Who won Murray State vs. North Dakota?
The North Dakota won 55–28 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.