Sacred Heart vs. MaineFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalHarold Alfond Sports Stadium
Sacred Heart1–3
24–16Final
Maine1–4
Score by period
Team1234T
SACR0147324
MAIN630716

Top model pick, graded

Won

Sacred Heart Pioneers +2.5 −112

Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP Composite Grade 72/100: qualifying B-level edge.

Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks

How the picks did

Models went 3-0 on this game · +97% return

  1. Sacred Heart Pioneers +2.5
    +89%Won

    Taken at −112 on FanDuel

    Why it likes it
    • PWP Composite Grade 72/100: qualifying B-level edge.
    • Blended 2026 scoring model projects Sacred Heart 25.5, Maine 20.2, a 5.3-point Sacred Heart margin.
    • Sacred Heart posted +0.108 and +0.152 offensive EPA/play in its two charted games; Maine is negative in all three charted games.
    • Maine has home field and the sportsbook spread has remained flat; market movement is not confirming the edge.
  2. Sacred Heart Pioneers spread +2.5
    +89%Won

    Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Edge class: INTERNAL COHERENCE; reference: VENUE SELF-REFERENCE.
    • ProphetX prices Sacred Heart at 46.08¢ on the moneyline but only 52.61¢ on +2.5, a narrow 6.53-point protection gap.
    • Maine is at home, and a 2.5-point margin is vulnerable to one late score or field-goal swing.
  3. Sacred Heart Pioneers to win
    +113%Won

    Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • latest week-4 efficiency rows favor Sacred Heart: +0.0645 offensive EPA/play and -0.294 defensive EPA/play, versus Maine at -0.2713 and +0.0346.
    • Common-opponent signal: Sacred Heart lost at Elon by 3; Maine lost at Elon by 26, while Maine also lost to Merrimack by 9.
    • no Pinnacle moneyline is posted; ProphetX +113 is better than DraftKings +110 and FanDuel +102 for the upset side.
    • Maine has home field and remains the market favorite; that advantage can erase a small efficiency edge.

Questions

Who won Sacred Heart vs. Maine?

The Sacred Heart won 24–16 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.