St. Thomas vs. PresbyterianFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBailey Memorial Stadium
St. Thomas4–1
21–55Final
Presbyterian1–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST | 2 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| PRES | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 55 |
Top model pick, graded
WonPresbyterian Blue Hose spread +27.5 47¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: Pinnacle posts Presbyterian +26.5 at +100; ProphetX improves the threshold to +27.5 and the price to +113.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +30% return
- Game total under 57.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model fair total 54.5, four points below the 57.5 market; under costs 51¢.
- St. Thomas defense allowed -0.009 EPA/play in its latest game; Presbyterian offense posted -0.051.
- Presbyterian averages 17.8 points across four 2026 games and managed seven points last week.
- St. Thomas’ latest offense produced 0.426 EPA/play, 61.1% success and 22.2% explosive plays.
- Presbyterian Blue Hose spread +27.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle posts Presbyterian +26.5 at +100; ProphetX improves the threshold to +27.5 and the price to +113.
- NO REFERENCE beyond the nearby Pinnacle line; the claim relies on the exchange offering a better number than the sharp reference.
- Most likely loss: St. Thomas wins by 28 or more; its 94.6% ProphetX moneyline implies real blowout risk.
- Game total over 54.5+79%Won
Taken at 56¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Official St. Thomas preview: the Tommies scored 50 twice in their last three games.
- Official Presbyterian preview: the Blue Hose had lost three straight while allowing 54.0 points per game.
- Warehouse matchup signal: St. Thomas posted +0.426 EPA/play, 61.1% success and 22.2% explosive rate; Presbyterian allowed +0.298 defensive EPA/play.
- Presbyterian scored only 7 last week; a one-sided 40-7 or 42-10 script can stay below 54.5.
Questions
Who won St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian?
The Presbyterian won 55–21 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.