The Citadel vs. South Carolina StateFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalOliver C. Dawson Stadium
The Citadel1–3
34–31Final
South Carolina State5–0
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THE | 7 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 34 |
| SC | 10 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-2 on this game · −100% return
- South Carolina State Bulldogs spread −20.5−100%Lost
Taken at 45¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- My read is a 23.5-point South Carolina State win, above the 20.5 spread.
- Current-season margins are +87, +66, +3, +10 for South Carolina State versus The Citadel's +2, -28, -6, -19.
- Latest efficiency gap favors South Carolina State: +0.142 EPA/play, 50.8% success, 2.82 points/drive versus -0.092, 35.3%, 1.27.
- The projection leans on only four current-season games and includes two extreme South Carolina State blowouts.
- Game total under 47.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- simple matchup projection is roughly 43, 45 total points versus the 47.5 market.
- The Citadel scored 43, 14, 20 and 8 in its four 2026 games; its current-season offense rates only 1.89 points per drive.
- South Carolina State has allowed 0, 13, 17 and 21 points in 2026; a large lead also creates second-half pace and aggressiveness risk for the over.
- Most likely loss: South Carolina State converts short fields and The Citadel contributes enough for 48 or more.
Questions
Who won The Citadel vs. South Carolina State?
The The Citadel won 34–31 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.