Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalSanford Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| UGA | 7 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 38 |
Top model pick, graded
WonJunior Sherrill over 4.5 receptions +144
Why Touch Share Saturday likes it: Vanderbilt averaged 31 pass attempts and 70 offensive plays, with 49.9% pass rate and positive PROE; underdog script supports targets.
Touch Share SaturdayDown 18% this season · 61 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-3 on this game · +9% return
- Junior Sherrill over 4.5 receptions+144%Won
Taken at +144 on FanDuel
Touch Share SaturdayDown 53% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Vanderbilt averaged 31 pass attempts and 70 offensive plays, with 49.9% pass rate and positive PROE; underdog script supports targets.
- Most likely loss: Georgia pressure forces Vanderbilt away from its 31-attempt pass baseline and Sherrill finishes with four or fewer receptions.
- Georgia −24.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Game total over 51.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Both sides show 3 book levels; the tie does not corroborate, but the thin-at-quote plus deep-in-total pairing supplies two agreeing measures.
- This is venue self-reference, not an independent sharp-book confirmation; one stale or concentrated order can still create the pattern.
- Vanderbilt Commodores spread +25.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- exact 25-point final margin occurred 183 times, 1.7645% of completed games.
- ProphetX quotes +25.5 at 51.22c (-105) versus +25 at 49.75c (+101): 1.47 probability-point premium, below the 1.7645% push-margin mass.
- The selected +25.5 loses on every Georgia win by 26 or more; +25 would instead push only at exactly 25.
- Georgia Bulldogs over 38.5 team points−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
Saturday Scoring EnvironmentDown 77% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Opponent-adjusted EPA delta is +0.3388/play: Georgia offense .4040 minus Vanderbilt defensive allowance .0652 across four current games each.
- Both clocks are slow: Georgia 31.20 and Vanderbilt 28.03 seconds per play versus a 26.225 FBS median; over conviction is capped at 0.5u.
- Georgia Bulldogs spread −30.5−100%Lost
Taken at 40¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Georgia won its prior three games by 60, 50, and 28; Vanderbilt's two SEC games were a 6-point loss and 4-point win.
- Georgia's 2026 offensive EPA/play averages +0.404 versus Vanderbilt's +0.100; Georgia's defensive EPA allowed averages -0.122.
- Four-game samples are thin, and opponent quality plus game state can distort EPA and margin results.
Questions
Who won Vanderbilt vs. Georgia?
The Georgia won 38–14 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.