Get app

Boston College vs. Georgia TechFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalBobby Dodd Stadium
Boston College3–3
49–27Final
Georgia Tech2–4
Score by period
Team1234T
BC012132449
GT10301427

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game 1st-quarter total over 7.5 points 58¢

Why Kickoff Script likes it: GT averaged 2.56 points per drive across its last five and BC averaged 1.90; both QBs have been leading their teams' passing work.

Kickoff ScriptDown 7% this season · 363 picks
Get the next picks first

How the picks did

Models went 6-14 on this game · −37% return

  1. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to winFavorite3 models agree
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 69¢ on Polymarket

    3 modelsCFB Heater, Saturday Board Pairs +1
    Why 3 models like it
    CFB Heater
      • Georgia Tech has five official outs plus three game-time decisions; Boston College has ten official outs.
      Saturday Board Pairs
      • Matchup efficiency favors the home side: Georgia Tech offense is positive against BC's +0.0337 defensive EPA allowed; BC offense is negative against Georgia Tech's +0.1621 allowed.
      • Personnel gate cleared: latest passing box leaders were Alberto Mendoza (38 attempts) and Mason McKenzie (28); the live game listing cross-check names both quarterbacks.
      • Most likely loss: BC exploits Georgia Tech's leaky defense; the Yellow Jackets allow +0.1621 defensive EPA/play and are only 2-4.
      Resting Money
      • Backing Georgia Tech, which is the side read as thin-at-quote/deep-behind-it, leg matches.
      • This is VENUE SELF-REFERENCE only: the order book can be stale, strategic, or dominated by one participant; no independent sharp-reference validation is used.
    • Game total under 50.53 models agree
      −100%Lost

      Taken at −110 on FanDuel

      3 modelsPicks With Pink Grading System, House Rules +1
      Why 3 models like it
      Picks With Pink Grading System
      • Model mean 48.6 points from 12 exact 2026 team-game totals; sample SD 11.8.
      • Exact-line history: 7 unders, 0 pushes, 5 overs in 12 combined team games (58.3% decided hit rate).
      • Georgia Tech has recent high totals of 58, 61, 69 and scored 44 against Mercer; explosive variance can break the under.
      House Rules
      • Exact 50-point totals occurred in 159 of 11,315 regular/postseason CFB games: 1.405%.
      • ProphetX quotes under 50.5 and under 50 at the identical -101 price (50.25¢), leaving the extra win state unpriced.
      • The 1.405% exact-total rate is all-CFB historical data, not a matchup-specific scoring distribution.
      Key Number CFB
      • Boston College and Georgia Tech average 20.3 and 26.7 points in 2026, a 47.0-point combined baseline.
      • Cross-team EPA blend centers near 48.6: BC offense -0.0268 versus GT defense +0.1621 allowed; GT offense +0.1486 versus BC defense +0.0337 allowed.
      • Most likely loss: Georgia Tech's explosive offense and short fields drive the total to 51 or higher.
    • Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets spread −6.5High conviction
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX

      House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Exact 7-point CFB margin occurred in 886 of 11,315 regular/postseason games: 7.830%.
      • ProphetX quotes Georgia Tech -6.5 at +101 (49.75¢) versus -7 at -121 (54.75¢): the strictly better half-point contract is 5.00¢ cheaper.
      • The 7.830% exact-margin rate is all-CFB historical data, not a matchup-specific or directional estimate.
    • Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets spread −11.5
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 36¢ on Novig

      Rung ReaderUp 52% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Pinnacle's main GT -6 spread de-vigs to 51.4% at -112/+100.
      • Moving past margin 7 (5%) and 10 (3.5%) removes 8.5 points from the anchor fair.
      • Both Mason McKenzie and Alberto Mendoza are expected, not officially confirmed; late warmup scratches remain unknown.
    • Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets −5.5
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket US

      Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Monkey's same-side purchases arrived 6:06, 6:24 AM PDT, well before the 12:30 PM kickoff.
      • CFB lineup and final availability confirmation are not supplied by the warehouse; late quarterback or starter news could invalidate the read.
    • Boston College Eagles under 21.5 team points
      −100%Lost

      Taken at −105 on Pinnacle

      Saturday Scoring EnvironmentDown 77% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Adjusted EPA delta is -0.1878: BC offense -0.0257 minus GT defensive EPA allowed +0.1621.
      • BC converted 8 of 19 red-zone trips (42.1%); GT allowed touchdowns on 9 of 20 (45.0%).
      • Both clocks are slow: BC 25.33 and GT 27.04 seconds per play versus the 23.00 current FBS median.
      • GT's +0.1621 defensive EPA allowed is permissive; field position or defensive breakdowns can lift BC scoring.
    Show all 16 picks
    1. Game 1st-quarter total over 7.5 points
      +72%Won

      Taken at 58¢ on Kalshi

      Kickoff ScriptUp 2% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • GT averaged 2.56 points per drive across its last five and BC averaged 1.90; both QBs have been leading their teams' passing work.
      • The pace proxy is favorable for early scoring: GT 27.3 seconds/play and BC 29.4 seconds/play, projecting roughly 10-11 first-quarter points before variance.
      • A 64% estimate clears the wider threshold required for a 1Q total against a self-referential Kalshi reference.
      • A first quarter is only a handful of possessions; one three-and-out, turnover or missed field goal can erase the modeled edge.
    2. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1st-half winner
      +67%Won

      Taken at 60¢ on Kalshi

      Kickoff ScriptUp 2% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • GT's last five: +0.209 offensive EPA/play, 51.3% success rate and +0.166 PROE.
      • Boston College's last-five offense: -0.018 EPA/play and 44.7% success; matchup EPA materially favors GT's opening script.
      • GT operated at 27.3 seconds/play versus BC's 29.4, supporting a small first-half possession edge.
      • GT's last-five defensive EPA allowed was +0.189/play, leaving room for BC to score early despite the side edge.
    3. Boston College +5.5
      +113%Won

      Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX

      Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Directional check: backing Boston College +5.5, which is the side read as thin-at-quote/deep-behind-it, leg matches.
      • Book-level count does not corroborate: 3-3, so this is not a three-measure signal.
    4. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets spread −7
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 55¢ on ProphetX

      Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Georgia Tech's 2026 profile leads Boston College by 0.174 EPA/play offensively, 5.80 percentage points in success rate, and 2.92 points in explosive rate.
      • ProphetX's same-event moneyline prices Georgia Tech at 68.75¢ (-220), preserving the favorite direction while the -7 rung captures the key-number structure.
      • Latest box rows lead with Alberto Mendoza and Mason McKenzie; an Oct. 23 game preview identifies McKenzie as Boston College's quarterback, clearing the personnel check with the live web corroboration.
      • Most likely loss: Georgia Tech wins by six or fewer, or Boston College wins outright.
    5. Total Points under 49
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 46¢ on ProphetX

      Tempo BoardDown 18% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • The same ProphetX ladder prices under 50 at +102, under 50.5 at -101, and under 51 at -106; the held under 46.5 is -119, a materially inconsistent lower-rung reference.
      • Six 2026 games: Boston College averages 20.33 points and Georgia Tech 26.67, a 47.0-point combined baseline across 802 offensive plays.
      • QB gate cleared: Mason McKenzie and Alberto Mendoza led their teams' last-game pass attempts (28 and 38); McKenzie is listed by BC's official Game Center and Mendoza is covered by Georgia Tech's official recap.
      • Georgia Tech has a weak 2026 defensive profile (+0.162 EPA/play allowed), while Boston College also allows positive defensive EPA; short fields can overwhelm the under.
    6. Game total over 50.5
      +96%Won

      Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

      ProphetX PairsDown 9% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Georgia Tech averaged 23.2 points and Boston College allowed 24.4 against FBS opponents; the matchup supports a competitive scoring path.
      • Georgia Tech's FBS profile was +0.092 offensive EPA/play with a 0.162 explosive rate; Boston College's defense allowed +0.061 EPA/play.
      • Boston College averaged only 20.0 points against FBS opponents; inefficient offense can leave the over dependent on Georgia Tech.
    7. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over 13.5 first-half spreadLong shot
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 20¢ on Kalshi

      Early CoverUp 1% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Pinnacle’s full-game Georgia Tech -6.0 scales to a first-half mean near +3.0.
      • 2,705 signed FBS margins have SD 22.80; sqrt-half scaling gives first-half SD 16.12 and P(GT >13.5) ≈25.7%.
      • adjacent Georgia Tech rungs price over 10.5 at 26¢ and over 14.5 at 17¢; the 13.5 rung is directionally consistent.
      • Weather gust and precipitation are null, so the possession adjustment is unobserved.
    8. Boston College Eagles to winLong shot
      +213%Won

      Taken at 32¢ on ProphetX

      Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    9. Total Points under 46.5
      −100%Lost

      Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX

      Tempo BoardDown 18% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Team-total anchors are Georgia Tech 28.5 and Boston College 21.5; both unders are liquid, summing to the 50-point neighborhood.
      • Georgia Tech allows +0.162 defensive EPA/play, creating short fields or late scoring for Boston College.
    10. Game total over 50
      +96%Won

      Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

      ProphetX PairsDown 9% last 7 days
      Why it likes it
      • Georgia Tech allows 30.4 FBS points per game; Boston College allows 24.4, creating matchup scoring upside.
      • Georgia Tech posted +0.0918 offensive EPA/play and a 0.1623 explosive-play rate across five FBS games.
      • Boston College's 24.31-second pace and Georgia Tech's 0.1816 PROE support more possessions and scoring chances.
      • Boston College averages only 20.0 points and -0.0063 offensive EPA/play against FBS opponents.

    Questions

    Who won Boston College vs. Georgia Tech?

    The Boston College won 49–27 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.