Bucknell vs. Holy CrossFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalFitton Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| HOLY | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34 |
Top model pick, graded
WonHoly Cross −10 (push if Holy Cross wins by exactly 10) 54¢
Why House Rules likes it: Holy Cross -10 wins by 11+, pushes if Holy Cross wins by exactly 10; -10.5 loses at 10.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-2 on this game · +14% return
- Holy Cross −10 (push if Holy Cross wins by exactly 10)+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Holy Cross -10 wins by 11+, pushes if Holy Cross wins by exactly 10; -10.5 loses at 10.
- ProphetX quotes -10 at 53.7c (-116) versus -10.5 at 62.69c (-168), despite -10 adding the exact-10 push outcome.
- No independent projection is used; Holy Cross must win by 11+ for a cash win, while an exact-10 result is a push, not a win.
- Holy Cross Crusaders to win+22%Won
Taken at 82¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Game total under 47.5+87%Won
Taken at −115 on BetMGM
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 8-6 under at 47.5 in 14 separate 2026 team-games, with no pushes; season-only sample avoids mixing phases.
- Pooled 2026 game-total mean was 43.9, 3.6 points below 47.5: a 7.6% line-relative projection gap.
- Bucknell's recent totals were under 47.5 in 5 of 7; Holy Cross was under in 3 of 7.
- L5 pooled exact-line record was only 5-5, and neither team has a three-game under streak.
- Total points over 46.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Reference: VENUE SELF-REFERENCE only; ProphetX's own ladder supplies the depth signal, with no independent sharp reference used.
- ProphetX's live quoted price is -114 American, filed at 53.27 cents; the 3-versus-3 level tie leaves this below a full three-measure confirmation. Board note: moneyline and 47.5 total were only LEAN/EXPLORATORY.
- The book-level measure is tied 3-3, so only two of three measures support the Over read.
- Bucknell Bison spread +10−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Bucknell and Holy Cross differ by only 2.4 points in current seven-game average margin (-14.7 vs -12.3).
- Recent scoring averages are weak on both sides: Bucknell 10.3 scored, Holy Cross 20.1 scored; a 10-point gap needs substantial home-field separation.
- Most likely loss: Holy Cross converts home field while Bucknell's 10.3-point offense stalls, producing a margin above 10.
- Bucknell Bison total points under 46.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Seven-game averages total only 30.4 points: Holy Cross 20.1 and Bucknell 10.3, leaving substantial room below 46.5.
- Bucknell's defense has allowed only 0.041 EPA/play, while Holy Cross has allowed 0.172; that supports a slower, lower-scoring script.
- Both offenses are negative EPA and below 42% success rate: Bucknell -0.236 / 38.2%, Holy Cross -0.043 / 41.8%.
- Most likely loss: Holy Cross repeats its 38- and 41-point offensive outings against Bucknell's weaker offense.
Questions
Who won Bucknell vs. Holy Cross?
The Holy Cross won 34–3 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.