Butler vs. DrakeFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalDrake Stadium (IA)
Butler5-2
33–21Final
Drake2-5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUTL | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 33 |
| DRAK | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Top model pick, graded
WonButler Bulldogs to win 57¢
Why CFB Heater likes it: Independent matchup context agrees: Butler is 5-2 with a +82 scoring margin; Drake is 2-5 with a -66 margin, while Butler's recent EPA profile is materially stronger on offense and defense.
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 6-1 on this game · +54% return
- Butler Bulldogs to win+75%Won
Taken at 57¢ on Polymarket US
5 modelsCFB Heater, D1 Winner +3Why 5 models like it
CFB Heater- Independent matchup context agrees: Butler is 5-2 with a +82 scoring margin; Drake is 2-5 with a -66 margin, while Butler's recent EPA profile is materially stronger on offense and defense.
- Neither team has an official pregame lineup or comprehensive injury feed here; unexpected personnel news could erase the signal.
D1 Winner- Butler’s 2026 offense EPA/play +0.17 vs Drake +0.01; defense allowed -0.03 vs Drake +0.18.
- Butler leads success rate allowed 42.1% to 44.1% and havoc rate 17.0% to 9.4%.
- Drake has home-field advantage, while the market only makes Butler a roughly 1.5-point favorite.
Picks With Pink Grading System- Butler is 5-2 with a 233-151 points differential; Drake is 2-5 at 175-241.
- Season EPA: Butler +0.13 offense and -0.09 defense allowed versus Drake +0.01 / +0.14.
- No official lineup or injury designations are posted; CFB game-day entries are expected depth-chart starters with no observation timestamp.
BETALAB 6.0- Butler is 5-2 with a +82 season scoring margin; Drake is 2-5 with a -66 margin.
- Last-7 advanced form favors Butler: +0.13 offensive EPA/play and -0.09 defensive EPA allowed/play versus Drake at +0.01 and +0.14.
- Both teams' expected lineups are projections, not official game-day confirmations; the cfb lineup rows have no observation timestamp.
- Drake Bulldogs +2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Novig
Bills BelichicksDown 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Matt Walker's documented 44-13 record since 2021 is 77.2%, versus Kevin Lynch's 11-8 (57.9%): +19.3 percentage points.
- Drake is a home underdog; the target clears the brief's +1.5 underdog gate at +2.5.
- Pinnacle's spread moved from Drake +3 to +1.5, indicating the market has moved against the target and created a contrarian coaching angle.
- Drake is 2-5 while Butler is 5-2, and Butler's recent scoring margin is +21.0 per game versus Drake's -5.6.
- Butler Bulldogs spread −3+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Butler's SRS rating is -38.6 versus Drake's -46.9, an 8.3-point team-quality gap before home field.
- Butler is 4-1 with a +21.0 average margin over its last five; Drake is 2-3 with a -5.6 margin.
- Most likely ticket loss: Butler's offense repeats its 9-point Dayton performance and Drake keeps the game within one score at home.
- Butler's latest game was a 19-9 loss, while Drake is at home; the recent split is not uniformly dominant.
Questions
Who won Butler vs. Drake?
Butler won 33-21 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.