Campbell vs. MaineFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHarold Alfond Sports Stadium
Campbell6–1
35–6Final
Maine1–6
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMP | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 35 |
| MAIN | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Top model pick, graded
WonCampbell Fighting Camels −10.5 49¢
Heater Two-HourDown 9% this season · 145 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 7-0 on this game · +93% return
- Campbell Fighting Camels spread −10.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsBETALAB 6.0, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
BETALAB 6.0- Campbell's 2026 SRS rating is -21.5 versus Maine's -44.4, a 22.9-point rating gap.
- Campbell is 6-1 with 228 points scored; Maine is 1-6 with 101 points scored.
- Expected rather than confirmed depth-chart lineups; no game-specific injury designations are on file.
Long Way Home- Campbell's current SRS rating is -21.5 versus Maine's -44.4, a 22.9-point gap.
- Campbell posts +0.133 offensive EPA/play and 48.5% success; Maine is -0.113 and 38.1%.
- Most likely loss: Campbell wins but fails to clear 11 points against Maine's home-field advantage.
- Campbell Fighting Camels −10.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days - Under 54.5 total points+91%Won
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Campbell averages +0.133 offensive EPA/play; Maine is at -0.113 and only 38.1% successful plays.
- Season scoring baseline is 47.0 combined points (Campbell 32.6, Maine 14.4), below the 54.5 market.
- Maine's 9.5% explosive-play rate and 14.4 points per game create a weak path to a shootout.
- Campbell's offense is efficient and explosive enough to score 35-plus against Maine's defense.
- Campbell Fighting Camels −10.0+93%Won
Taken at −108 on BetMGM
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Campbell leads 2026 FCS form in offense EPA/play, 0.133 to Maine's -0.113.
- Campbell's success rate is 48.5% versus Maine's 38.1%; explosive rate also favors Campbell, 13.2% to 9.5%.
- Expected quarterbacks show a major production gap: Kamden Sixkiller 1,899 yards and 15 TDs; Eddie Buehler 829 yards and 4 TDs.
- Campbell's defense allowed positive EPA/play (+0.041) this season, leaving room for Maine explosive answers.
- Campbell Fighting Camels spread −9.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Campbell's 2026 regular-season offense EPA/play is +0.133 versus Maine's -0.113 across seven games.
- The -9.5 rung clears the empirical 10-point margin cluster; taking -10 would forfeit exact-margin-10 outcomes.
- Campbell is 6-1 recently at +5.0 average margin; Maine is 1-6 at -14.4. QB gate met: Sixkiller is official-preview named; Buehler is current expected starter.
- Maine's home field and much slower pace can compress the margin even if Campbell wins.
- Total points under 53.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Campbell's 32.6 points per game and Maine's 14.4 combine for only 47.0.
- A simple offense-defense blend projects about 51.7 points, below the 53.5 contract.
- Maine scored 14 or fewer in four of its last five; Campbell's last-five average is 30.2.
- Most likely loss: Campbell converts its 0.133 season offensive EPA/play into explosive short-field scores and Maine contributes enough for 54+.
Questions
Who won Campbell vs. Maine?
The Campbell won 35–6 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.