Charleston Southern vs. Tennessee StateFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalNissan Stadium
Charleston Southern3–4
20–7Final
Tennessee State2–5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | 0 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| TENN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Top model pick, graded
WonCharleston Southern Buccaneers spread −3 50¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: SRS rates Charleston Southern -34.8 versus Tennessee State -42.6, a 7.8-point neutral-field gap.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −50% return
- Game total over 38.5−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Season points-for/against rates imply roughly 49 combined points; each team's last five game totals also averaged 51.6 and 49.6.
- 38.5 provides protection versus the 42.5 reference still posted at Pinnacle; research quality 74/100.
- The total moved from 42.5 to 38.5, an adverse move that may reflect information not captured in the warehouse.
- Tennessee State Tigers spread +3−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The key-number density model says the free half-point is underpriced; Pinnacle/DraftKings both center the game near Charleston Southern -3.
- Tennessee State is home and has the better 2026 offense EPA/play (-0.0303 vs Charleston Southern -0.1015), supporting a close-game path despite the overall matchup risk.
- Most likely loss: Charleston Southern wins by four or more; the value is concentrated in a close margin.
- Game total over 41.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2026 scoring baselines project about 42.9 combined points: Charleston Southern scores 23.9, Tennessee State 19.0, while Tennessee State allows 33.0.
- Tennessee State's 15.6% PROE and 9.43-second pace create extra-possession upside; 41.5 understates that projection.
- QB gate cleared: Daylin Lee and Jard Echols led the latest passing rows; a same-day update identifies both current starters.
- Most likely loss: Tennessee State's 19.0-point offense stalls and the game finishes 41 or fewer.
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers spread −3+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SRS rates Charleston Southern -34.8 versus Tennessee State -42.6, a 7.8-point neutral-field gap.
- Season margins favor Charleston Southern +1.1 per game versus Tennessee State -14.0; a scoring blend projects roughly 4.6 points for CSU.
- Charleston Southern allows 22.7 points per game versus Tennessee State's 33.0, while TSU averages only 19.0 points scored.
- Most likely loss: Charleston Southern wins by 1-2 points, or Tennessee State wins outright; a three-point win is a push.
Questions
Who won Charleston Southern vs. Tennessee State?
The Charleston Southern won 20–7 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.