Chicago State vs. LindenwoodFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHunter Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHIC | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| LIND | 7 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 44 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 52.5 −108
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: Grade 72/100 (B): fresh matchup, price, and role research qualify, with deductions for sample and lineup uncertainty.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-1 on this game · +43% return
- Game total over 52.5+93%Won
Taken at −108 on BetMGM
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Grade 72/100 (B): fresh matchup, price, and role research qualify, with deductions for sample and lineup uncertainty.
- Projected total 57.1: [(CSU PF 26.6 + Lindenwood PA 30.2) / 2] + [(Lindenwood PF 19.3 + CSU PA 38.0) / 2].
- 2026 team-game totals pooled 13 games: mean 57.6, SD 17.7; normal residual model estimates 60% over 52.5.
- No comparable exact-line history exists for this team total: L10 gate is N/A, 0 wins-0 losses-0 pushes in a same-line sample.
- Chicago State Cougars spread +23.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Recent five-game EPA net favors Chicago State by 0.048 per play (-0.202 vs -0.249).
- PFF grades favor Chicago State 66.3, 59.7 overall and 77.2, 56.1 on defense.
- SRS rates Lindenwood 24.5 points stronger before home-field adjustment; the talent gap can overwhelm recent efficiency.
- Lindenwood Lions spread −23.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Lindenwood's SRS rating is -37.2 versus Chicago State's -61.7, a 24.5-point neutral-field gap before home advantage.
- The 2026 results show Chicago State allowing 43, 56, and 47 points in three of its five losses; Lindenwood's home setting supports separation.
- Most likely loss: Lindenwood wins but fails to clear 24 points, especially if its offense repeats the 20-point output against Eastern Illinois.
- Total points under 53.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: Lindenwood's six completed totals average 49.5 points, and its offense scored 20 or fewer in three of six games.
- the live odds resolver returned no mainstream NCAAF price for this matchup, so the edge is venue-internal rather than sharp-confirmed.
- Most likely loss: Lindenwood creates short fields against Chicago State's defense, scores 30-plus, and Chicago contributes enough to clear 53.5.
Questions
Who won Chicago State vs. Lindenwood?
The Lindenwood won 44–9 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.