Colgate vs. RichmondFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalRobins Stadium
Colgate4–3
6–13Final
Richmond5–2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| RICH | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 41.5 53¢
Why House Rules likes it: Under 41.5 is a half-point contract; it wins at 41 or fewer and never pushes.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-3 on this game · −4% return
- Colgate Raiders to win−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, BETALAB 6.0Why 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Richmond is 5-2 versus Colgate's 4-3 and has home-field advantage.
BETALAB 6.0- 56% BETALAB estimate versus ~50.2% normalized market probability; fair value is 56¢ before fees.
- Colgate: +0.021 offensive EPA/play and -0.106 defensive EPA allowed; Richmond: -0.048 and +0.034.
- FCS lineups are expected only; lineup observed_at is null and no official injury layer covers either team.
- Game total under 41.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
2 modelsHouse Rules, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
House Rules- Under 41.5 is a half-point contract; it wins at 41 or fewer and never pushes.
- ProphetX quotes under 41.5 at -112 versus under 42 at -305, charging an extreme premium for the push rung.
- This is not a projection: 42 or more points loses the endorsed contract, including the whole-rung push outcome.
Long Way Home- Richmond has averaged 24.0 points scored and 14.7 allowed in three home games.
- Colgate has averaged 19.75 points scored and 17.0 allowed in four road games.
- Most likely loss: an explosive play, short field, or special-teams score pushes the game above 41.5.
- Colgate Raiders +3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 76¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX quotes Colgate +3.5 at 76.47¢ (American -325) versus Colgate +3 at 75.61¢ (American -310).
- The edge only appears on a Richmond win by exactly 3; other margins do not create this contract advantage.
- Richmond Spiders to win+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- INTERNAL COHERENCE; VENUE SELF-REFERENCE: ProphetX quotes Richmond -1.5 at 55.16c (-123), above Richmond ML at 52.15c (-109); covering -1.5 is a subset of winning outright.
- The cross-market mismatch makes the ML the cheaper route to the same Richmond-win direction; no outside sharp reference is claimed.
- Richmond is 3-2 over its last five, including home wins over Furman and Georgetown; Colgate is 2-3 over its last five.
- Most likely loss: Colgate wins outright; the ML has no spread protection.
Questions
Who won Colgate vs. Richmond?
The Richmond won 13–6 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.