Cornell vs. BrownFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBrown Stadium (RI)
Cornell3–2
31–38Final
Brown2–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORN | 0 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| BROW | 7 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
Top model pick, graded
WonCornell Big Red over 45.5 total points 64¢
Why Key Number CFB likes it: Five-game scoring average is 46.4 points: Cornell 31.4 and Brown 15.0; Cornell's offense is +0.1473 EPA/play.
Key Number CFBDown 7% this season · 668 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-5 on this game · −74% return
- Cornell Big Red to win−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on Polymarket
2 modelsCFB Heater, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Sportsbook consensus makes Cornell only a 53.2% away-moneyline favorite, leaving a narrow edge at 54¢.
Long Way Home- PROJECTION edge; reference label: NO REFERENCE.
- Cornell’s 2026 offense leads Brown by 0.184 EPA/play, 3.5 percentage points of success rate, and 5.5 points of explosiveness.
- Most likely loss: Brown’s defense controls Cornell while its home field turns a close game into a Bears win.
- Game total under 51.5−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Cornell-Brown season scoring averages total 46.4 points (31.4 Cornell, 15.0 Brown).
- Brown's offense averages -0.0369 EPA/play, 46.6% success and 1.375 points/drive over five games.
- Cornell's defense allows +0.0872 EPA/play, but Brown's offense has produced only 15.0 points/game and 8.6% explosive plays.
- Cornell's defense has allowed 27.6 points/game and +0.0872 EPA/play, giving Brown a path to an over.
- Game total under 50.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projected total 45, 46 points; the offense-defense blend is 43.6 before variance.
- Brown averages 15.0 points and 0.086 explosive-play rate over five games; its offense is -0.0369 EPA/play.
- Brown's defense allows 13.2 points per game and posts -0.060 defensive EPA/play.
- Cornell averages 31.4 points and its defense allows 27.6, creating meaningful shootout and late-score risk.
- Cornell Big Red over 45.5 total points+56%Won
Taken at 64¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Five-game scoring average is 46.4 points: Cornell 31.4 and Brown 15.0; Cornell's offense is +0.1473 EPA/play.
- QB gate: latest box rows led by James Murphy (50 attempts) and Garrett Bass-Sulpizio (34); Fox's pregame check listed both starters.
- Most likely loss: Brown's -0.0369 offensive EPA/play and 15.0 points per game keep the total at 45 or lower.
- Total points under 48.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- the teams average 46.4 combined points through five games: Cornell 31.4, Brown 15.0.
- Brown allows 13.2 points per game and -0.060 defensive EPA/play; Brown's offense is -0.037 EPA/play.
- Most likely loss: Cornell's 31.4-point offense creates explosive plays while Brown contributes enough for 49-plus.
Questions
Who won Cornell vs. Brown?
The Brown won 38–31 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.