Indiana State vs. Illinois StateFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalHancock Stadium
Indiana State2–5
10–17Final
Illinois State5–2
Score by period
Team1234T
IU700310
ILL3140017

How the picks did

Models went 0-2 on this game · −100% return

  1. Illinois State Redbirds −20.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 50¢ on Polymarket US

    BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Illinois State leads recent offense EPA/play 0.295 to 0.111 and defense EPA allowed is -0.053 versus Indiana State's +0.188.
    • Illinois State is 5-2 with a +20.6 average scoring margin; Indiana State is 2-5 and -9.6.
    • SRS rates Illinois State -11.5 versus Indiana State -25.0, a 13.5-point baseline gap before home field.
    • Both lineups are expected rather than officially confirmed; FCS availability is not covered by the official injury feed.
  2. Total points over 57.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Illinois State averages 37.7 points across its seven completed games; Indiana State allows 37.3.
    • Pinnacle's same-direction reference is over 58 at -115; ProphetX offers the more favorable 57.5 over at -110.
    • Most likely loss: Illinois State leads early, bleeds clock, and Indiana State's offense cannot contribute enough for 58 points.

Questions

Who won Indiana State vs. Illinois State?

The Illinois State won 17–10 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.