Jackson State vs. Bethune-CookmanFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalDaytona Stadium
Jackson State6–1
21–24Final
Bethune-Cookman4–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACK | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| BETH | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 |
Top model pick, graded
WonBethune-Cookman Wildcats to win 46¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: Bethune-Cookman leads 7-0 with 4:33 left in Q1; the current live model has not been reflected in this contract's roughly 46% break-even price.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −46% return
- Jackson State Tigers to win−100%Lost
Taken at 76¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Jackson State is 6-1 with a 264-152 scoring record; Bethune-Cookman is 4-3 at 199-204.
- Season offensive EPA/play is +0.204 for Jackson State versus -0.007 for Bethune-Cookman; defensive EPA allowed is -0.013 versus +0.042.
- PFF team grade favors Jackson State 88.8 to 74.5; recent five-game form is 4-1 versus 3-2.
- The ESPN pregame win-probability model returned no row and current SRS rates the teams nearly equal, widening model uncertainty.
- game total over 51, pushes at exactly 51−100%Lost
Taken at 75¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- over 51 pushes at exactly 51; over 51.5 loses at 51, while both win at 52+.
- Historical CFB exact-total frequency: 51 points occurred 334 of 10,371 games, 3.221%.
- ProphetX prices over 51 at 75.31¢ versus over 51.5 at 78.72¢; the whole-number contract is cheaper and adds push protection.
- The 3.221% mass is push protection, not a win; the ticket wins only when the game total reaches 52+.
- Bethune-Cookman Wildcats to win+117%Won
Taken at 46¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Bethune-Cookman leads 7-0 with 4:33 left in Q1; the current live model has not been reflected in this contract's roughly 46% break-even price.
- Jackson State's pregame profile is stronger, but the live state has already produced the key home lead and a 30.94-point model-versus-price gap.
- Most likely loss: Jackson State's stronger season offense recovers from the 7-0 deficit and wins outright.
- Total points over 54.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- A season offense-defense blend projects approximately 58.5 points: Jackson State 33.4, Bethune-Cookman 25.1.
- Jackson State averages 37.7 points scored and 21.7 allowed; Bethune-Cookman averages 28.4 scored and 29.1 allowed.
- Jackson State's +0.204 offensive EPA/play contrasts with Bethune-Cookman's -0.007; both teams' defensive profiles leave scoring paths.
- Most likely loss: Jackson State controls the game, Bethune-Cookman's offense stalls, and clock-heavy second-half possessions keep the total below 55.
Questions
Who won Jackson State vs. Bethune-Cookman?
The Bethune-Cookman won 24–21 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.