Lafayette vs. FordhamFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalMoglia Stadium at Jack Coffey Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFA | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
| FORD | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonTotal points under 49.5 50¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: Fordham averages 15.75 points and Lafayette 22.50, a combined 38.25 across their 2026 games versus a 49.5 line.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −33% return
- Fordham +1.5 spread, no push; Lafayette by 1 wins−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Fordham +1.5 cannot push; a one-point Lafayette win is a win, while Fordham +1 would push.
- ProphetX prices Fordham +1 at -285 (74.03¢) versus Fordham +1.5 at -108 (51.92¢); the half-point contract dominates that whole-number rung in the one-point outcome.
- Fordham losses by more than one still lose; this desk has no projection edge on the underlying game result.
- Fordham Rams to win−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Fordham has +0.329 live offensive EPA/play and a 61.5% success rate through 13 plays; Lafayette is at -0.566 EPA/play and 30.0% success through 10.
- Fordham is generating 3.5 points per drive while Lafayette is at 0.0; the live 7-7 score has not reflected that efficiency gap.
- Single-leg ticket: no combination tax; ProphetX board was re-read at 10:35:58 PDT, immediately before filing.
- Most likely loss: Lafayette regresses from its poor opening efficiency and wins the remaining game despite the tied score.
- Total points under 49.5+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Fordham averages 15.75 points and Lafayette 22.50, a combined 38.25 across their 2026 games versus a 49.5 line.
- Both offenses are below 42.3% success; Fordham is -0.097 EPA/play and Lafayette only +0.012, limiting sustained scoring drives.
- Reference label: SHARP REFERENCE, Pinnacle's -115 under price supports the direction while ProphetX supplies the plus-money price.
- Most likely loss: both defenses' poor scoring prevention creates short fields; Fordham and Lafayette allow 31.38 and 31.67 points per game.
Questions
Who won Lafayette vs. Fordham?
The Lafayette won 31–17 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.