McNeese vs. Incarnate WordFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalGayle and Tom Benson Stadium
McNeese3-4
6–38Final
Incarnate Word3-4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCNE | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| INCA | 7 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 38 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 56.5 (wins at 56; no push; 57+ loses) 51¢
Why House Rules likes it: Under 56.5 wins at a 56-point total; it has no push and loses only at 57 or higher.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1403 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −61% return
- McNeese Cowboys spread +12.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle’s main spread is Incarnate Word -13.5, but current EPA form projects a materially closer margin.
- Scoring blend: UIW averages 35.1 scored/31.4 allowed; McNeese averages 25.4/28.6, implying roughly a six-point gap before home field.
- Both game-specific starters are confirmed in current Fox coverage: Jake Strong for McNeese and Emmett Brown for UIW.
- Most likely loss: UIW converts its offensive and home-field advantages into a 14-plus-point win.
- Game total over 56−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- McNeese and Incarnate Word average 25.4 and 35.1 points in 2026; the 60.6 combined baseline clears 56.
- Both offenses are positive EPA/play: McNeese +0.04 and UIW +0.08; PROE is +8.3% and +16.1%.
- The sharp reference total is 56.5, corroborating an over lean relative to ProphetX's 56 rung.
- Most likely loss: McNeese stalls offensively and UIW cannot reach 57 total points.
- McNeese Cowboys to win−100%Lost
Taken at 20¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days - Game total under 56.5 (wins at 56; no push; 57+ loses)+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Under 56.5 wins at a 56-point total; it has no push and loses only at 57 or higher.
- ProphetX quotes under 56.5 at 51.46c (-106) versus under 56 at 53.49c (-115): the better-settling contract is cheaper.
- Current CFB lineup/availability information is not served; 57+ points still loses the ticket.
- Game total over 56.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION; seven-game scoring blend estimates 60.3 points, 3.8 above ProphetX's 56.5.
- Both offenses average positive EPA/play: Incarnate Word +0.08, McNeese +0.04.
- Pinnacle posts the same 56.5, with over -115 versus ProphetX -102.
- Most likely loss: McNeese stalls below 20 and Incarnate Word cannot carry the total alone.
Questions
Who won McNeese vs. Incarnate Word?
Incarnate Word won 38-6 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.