Murray State vs. South Dakota StateFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalDana J. Dykhouse Stadium

Murray State1–6

9–42Final

South Dakota State5–2

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
MURR	0	9	0	0	9
SOUT	14	13	8	7	42

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 57.5 55¢

Models went 1-2 on this game · −39% return

South Dakota State Jackrabbits −42 (pushes at exactly 42; wins 43+)High conviction
−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- -42 pushes at exactly 42; -42.5 loses there; both win at 43+.
- ProphetX quotes -42 at +107 (48.31¢) versus -42.5 at -260 (72.22¢).
- 42 is not among the most concentrated listed CFB key numbers; historical exact-margin mass is only 1.273%.
Over 55.5 (no push; exactly 55 loses)
−100%Lost
Taken at 63¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- over 55.5 wins at 56+ and loses at 55; adjacent over 55 pushes at exactly 55.
- ProphetX quotes over 55 at -375 (78.95¢) versus over 55.5 at -168 (62.69¢).
- The 16.26-point implied-price gap is over four times the 3.791% exact-55 frequency.
- 55 is a loss on this ticket, not a push; totals 54 or fewer also lose.
Game total under 57.5
+82%Won
Taken at 55¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days

The South Dakota State won 42–9 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.