North Dakota vs. South DakotaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalSaluki Stadium
North Dakota6-2
23–26Final
South Dakota6-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| SOUT | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 26 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSouth Dakota Coyotes moneyline NO 56¢
Heater Two-HourDown 9% this season · 145 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −55% return
- Game total over 58.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Tempo GapUp 14% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Season drive averages project roughly 24.9 combined possessions: North Dakota 13.5 and South Dakota 11.4.
- North Dakota averages 74.5 plays; South Dakota posts 0.31 offensive EPA/play, .540 success, and 3.41 points/drive.
- Expected QBs Jerry Kaminski and Austyn Modrzewski are identified; Kaminski returned to start last week, and DakotaDome is indoors.
- Most likely loss: South Dakota's slower pace and North Dakota's defense turn the matchup into fewer than 24 drives and a sub-59 total.
- South Dakota Coyotes moneyline NO+79%Won
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days - South Dakota −7−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- South Dakota -7 pushes when South Dakota wins by exactly 7; South Dakota -7.5 loses on that result.
- ProphetX prices the exact whole rung at 65.99c (-194) versus 66.22c (-196) for adjacent South Dakota -7.5: only a 0.23c gap.
- League-wide exact-7 frequency is not team- or matchup-specific; this is not a directional projection.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks spread +2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: South Dakota has the better 2026 offense, but North Dakota's defense has allowed 0.00 EPA/play versus South Dakota's 0.07; a one-score game is plausible.
- North Dakota's recent results include wins over South Dakota State and a 42-35 win at Indiana State; the market's +2.5 price implies less than a coin flip.
- The +3.5/-192 ladder discrepancy could be a venue quoting error or thin-market artifact rather than actionable information.
Questions
Who won North Dakota vs. South Dakota?
South Dakota won 26-23 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.