Portland State vs. Idaho StateFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalICCU Dome
Portland State2–5
8–38Final
Idaho State4–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| IDAH | 10 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 38 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 62.5 52¢
Why House Rules likes it: [SHARP REFERENCE] Pinnacle under 62 was -115; reserving 2.595% for pushes implies approximately 54.7% under-62.5 wins if the sharp conditional split carries across the rung.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-1 on this game · +44% return
- Game total under 62.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
2 modelsHouse Rules, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
House Rules- [SHARP REFERENCE] Pinnacle under 62 was -115; reserving 2.595% for pushes implies approximately 54.7% under-62.5 wins if the sharp conditional split carries across the rung.
- The 2.595% exact-62 rate is all-CFB historical mass, not a Portland State, Idaho State-specific total distribution.
Long Way Home- Idaho State averages 32.7 points and allows 22.6; Portland State averages 23.7, yielding a 56.4-point raw scoring blend.
- Recent three-game scoring averages are 55.0 for Idaho State games and 64.0 for Portland State games; the combined midpoint remains below market.
- Most likely loss: Portland State's defense, allowing 44.0 points per game, creates a high-possession shootout.
- Portland State Vikings over 61.5 total−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Idaho State Bengals spread −14.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Idaho State home offense averages 38.0 points and +0.258 EPA/play; Portland State away defense allows 54.0 points and +0.362 EPA/play.
- Portland State's away offense averages 22.25 points and -0.085 EPA/play; Idaho State's home defense allows 22.5 points.
- Most likely loss: Idaho State wins by exactly 14 or fewer, including a late Portland State score.
Questions
Who won Portland State vs. Idaho State?
The Idaho State won 38–8 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.