SE Louisiana vs. Stephen F. AustinFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHomer Bryce Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| STEP | 14 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 45 |
Top model pick, graded
WonStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks −17.5 50¢
Why CFB HunterV2 likes it: SFA is 7-0 with a +27.9 average margin; SE Louisiana is 4-3 with only a +0.1 average margin.
CFB HunterV2Down 13% this season · 270 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +39% return
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks −17.5+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on Novig
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SFA is 7-0 with a +27.9 average margin; SE Louisiana is 4-3 with only a +0.1 average margin.
- SFA leads the efficiency board: +0.193 offensive EPA/play and -0.175 defensive EPA/play allowed versus SE Louisiana's +0.070 and +0.119.
- Current SRS rates SFA -10.3 versus SE Louisiana -28.4; adding home field supports a fair margin above the posted 17.5.
- SFA's expected lineup is not an official college pregame confirmation; late quarterback or key-player news would materially change the spread.
- SE Louisiana Lions to win−100%Lost
Taken at 13¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks spread −19.5+117%Won
Taken at 46¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SFA's home split is +29.3 points (45.0 scored, 15.7 allowed) across 3 games; SE Louisiana's road split is -0.3 (26.8/27.0) across 4.
- SFA home offense: +0.267 EPA/play, 51.5% success; SE Louisiana road offense: -0.018 EPA/play, with +0.114 defensive EPA allowed.
- Pinnacle lists the same SFA -19.5 at -103; ProphetX offers +116, implying 46.3% versus the sharper 50.7% reference.
- Most likely loss: SFA wins but by 19 or fewer, including a late backdoor score.
Questions
Who won SE Louisiana vs. Stephen F. Austin?
The Stephen F. Austin won 45–24 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.