Stony Brook vs. BryantFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBeirne Stadium
Stony Brook4–3
27–17Final
Bryant5–2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STON | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
| BRYA | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonStony Brook Seawolves to win 61¢
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-4 on this game · −49% return
- Bryant Bulldogs to win−100%Lost
Taken at +147 on DraftKings
2 modelsCFB HunterV2, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB HunterV2- SRS rates Bryant -24.4 versus Stony Brook -25.7, a 1.3-point neutral-field edge before home field.
- Bryant's recent defense allowed +0.0361 EPA/play versus Stony Brook's +0.1375; lower is better.
- Stony Brook's offense has the stronger recent EPA/play mark, +0.0594 versus Bryant's +0.0034.
Long Way Home- Bryant is 4-1 with a +4.8 recent margin versus Stony Brook's 3-2 and +2.6; home field adds to the upset path.
- Bryant allowed 17.8 points per game in its last five; Stony Brook allowed 30.6, including 48 last week.
- Most likely loss: Stony Brook's 0.1416 offensive EPA/play and 33.7 points per game overwhelm Bryant early.
- Stony Brook Seawolves to win+64%Won
Taken at 61¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Bryant Bulldogs +3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Stony Brook leads seven-game offense EPA/play 0.142 to 0.022, but Bryant's two home games show +4.0 average margin and 0.099 offense EPA/play.
- SRS rates Bryant -24.4 versus Stony Brook -25.7, a near-neutral rating gap before Bryant's home-field advantage.
- Research quality 68/100: three supporting layers, but no official FCS availability feed.
- Stony Brook's season offense is materially stronger and its 0.110 explosive-play rate can create margin quickly.
- Stony Brook Seawolves spread −7+45%Won
Taken at 69¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Stony Brook -7 pushes on an exact 7-point win, while Stony Brook -7.5 loses on that same margin.
- ProphetX quotes Stony Brook -7 at -225 (69.23¢) and adjacent -7.5 at the identical -225 (69.23¢); the whole-number contract is strictly better at the same price.
- Bryant Bulldogs spread +3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Bryant's SRS rating (-24.4) is 1.3 points better than Stony Brook's (-25.7), while home field supports a tight margin.
- Bryant allows 0.0697 defensive EPA/play versus Stony Brook's 0.1305; success rates are nearly level (.4757 vs .4837).
- The most likely loss is Stony Brook's stronger offense turning its +0.142 EPA/play edge into a win by four or more.
- Stony Brook averages 33.7 points and +0.142 offensive EPA/play, versus Bryant's 20.0 points and +0.022 EPA/play.
Questions
Who won Stony Brook vs. Bryant?
The Stony Brook won 27–17 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.