West Florida vs. Eastern KentuckyFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalRoy Kidd Stadium
West Florida4–2
13–16Final
Eastern Kentucky2–5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| EAST | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 47.5 54¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: venue-split scoring blend projects approximately 42.0 points, 5.5 below the 47.5 line.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-7 on this game · −77% return
- West Florida Argonauts to win−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on Polymarket
6 modelsCFB Heater, Heater Two-Hour +4Why 6 models like it
CFB Heater- West Florida leads recent form 4-2 versus Eastern Kentucky 2-5, with a major recent defensive EPA edge (-0.036 versus +0.174 allowed).
- This is a modest edge: my 55% win estimate is only about three points above the 52c graded price.
Heater Two-Hour- The apparent price gap is modest after fees and execution; the global market was only around 52¢ when checked.
D1 Winner- West Florida leads the opponent-adjusted efficiency case: defensive EPA/play -0.081 versus Eastern Kentucky +0.117.
- West Florida's defense has a 0.235 havoc rate versus Eastern Kentucky's 0.150, supporting the away-side matchup edge.
- Both teams' depth charts are expected rather than confirmed; no official game-specific injury report is posted.
BETALAB 6.0- West Florida is 4-2 with a recent +3.0 margin; Eastern Kentucky is 2-5 with a recent -12.4 margin.
- Recent defensive EPA favors West Florida: -0.0685 allowed/play versus Eastern Kentucky's +0.0703.
- Both projected lineups are expected only; observed_at is null and FCS has no official injury feed.
- West Florida Argonauts −1.5−100%Lost
Taken at −102 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Research grade 72/100 (B): team-market gates pass; missing FCS availability data limits upside.
- West Florida covered -1.5 in 4 of 6 2026 games (66.7%); last five were 3-2 (60.0%).
- Season scoring profile favors West Florida: 26.0 points for and 23.0 against versus Eastern Kentucky's 18.6 for and 31.0 against.
- The 56% estimate is an analyst distributional judgment, not a calibrated published probability.
- Game total under 47.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- venue-split scoring blend projects approximately 42.0 points, 5.5 below the 47.5 line.
- West Florida road games average 45.0 total points; Eastern Kentucky home games average 39.0 across the current sample.
- West Florida’s road scoring averages 23.0 for and 22.0 against; Eastern Kentucky at home averages 20.5 for and 18.5 against.
- The projection uses only three West Florida road games and four Eastern Kentucky home games; opponent mix and sampling error are material.
Questions
Who won West Florida vs. Eastern Kentucky?
The Eastern Kentucky won 16–13 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.