Timberwolves vs. PacersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHilton Coliseum · Ames
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 112 | -85 | 38 | 26 | 21 | 112 |
| IND | 123 | -91 | 29 | 38 | 24 | 123 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 235.5 points 48¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: blended pace-times-efficiency projection is 234.5 points, 1.0 below the same-rung 235.5 contract.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · +4% return
- Game total under 235.5 points+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- blended pace-times-efficiency projection is 234.5 points, 1.0 below the same-rung 235.5 contract.
- Minnesota has the slight tempo-control case: 106.0 possessions in its current preseason game and 105.1 late-season L10 versus 103.4 season pace; Indiana's late-season L10 was 104.8 versus 103.6.
- Blended matchup efficiency is modestly lower than the market anchor: Minnesota offense/Indiana defense about 113.0/114.3, Indiana offense/Minnesota defense about 112.5/106.2.
- The projection is only about 1 point below the line, so ordinary shooting variance overwhelms the modeled edge.
- Minnesota Timberwolves to win−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on Polymarket US
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2025 regular-season net rating: Minnesota +3.03 versus Indiana -7.77, a 10.80-point baseline gap.
- Official Pacers preview lists Minnesota starters LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards, Jonathan Kuminga, Jaden McDaniels and Rudy Gobert; Indiana starters remain TBA.
- Indiana has McConnell, Quenton Jackson and Larry Nance Jr. questionable, while Minnesota's confirmed core is more identifiable.
- This is preseason: starter minutes and late scratches are not confirmed, and Indiana's TBA lineup is load-bearing uncertainty.
Questions
Who won Timberwolves vs. Pacers?
The Pacers won 123–112 on Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026.