Celtics vs. 76ersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 34 | 24 | 26 | 31 | 10 | 125 |
| PHI | 28 | 32 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 120 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 226.5 51¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Projection: 108.3 expected possessions × blended efficiency projects approximately 230.4 points, 3.9 above the 226.5 rung.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-0 on this game · +128% return
- Game total over 226.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: 108.3 expected possessions × blended efficiency projects approximately 230.4 points, 3.9 above the 226.5 rung.
- Boston: 107.9 pace, 117.8 offensive rating, 96.27 defensive rating; Philadelphia: 108.7 pace, 102.6 offensive rating, 108.7 defensive rating.
- Tempo read: Philadelphia is the slight pace dictator at 108.7 versus Boston's 107.9; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0, so there is no recent slowdown signal.
- Only three preseason games feed the form sample; both teams show a 0.0 pace_l10 delta, so the tempo evidence is thin.
- Game total over 224.5 points+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: blended pace is 108.3 possessions (Boston 107.9, Philadelphia 108.7); Philadelphia dictates marginally, but no meaningful pace trend separation.
- Efficiency math: Boston expected 113.25 points/100 (117.8 offense, Philadelphia 108.7 defense); Philadelphia expected 99.44 (102.6 offense, Boston 96.27 defense).
- Projected total is 230.4, 5.9 points above the 224.5 Kalshi rung; raw yes_ask 0.54 is a fraction (54¢), not 0.54 cents.
- Only three preseason games per team; both pace_l10_delta values are 0.0, so the tempo-dictator signal is weak.
- Boston Celtics to win+203%Won
Taken at 33¢ on Kalshi
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- My estimate is 40%; Boston YES costs 33¢ at Kalshi, a 7-point gap.
- Current injury feed lists Philadelphia's VJ Edgecombe and Anfernee Simons out for Friday; Adem Bona is also out.
- Boston's only current game-specific injury flag is Devin Carter questionable with illness.
- This is preseason: the NBA warehouse has no completed 2026 games or rotation sample for either team.
Questions
Who won Celtics vs. 76ers?
The Celtics won 125–120 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.