Bucks vs. PacersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 21 | 35 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 128 |
| IND | 29 | 42 | 22 | 24 | 10 | 127 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-2 on this game · −100% return
- Game total under 233.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Indiana averages 108.5 possessions versus Milwaukee's 105.9; recent averages match, with Indiana's faster profile dictating roughly 107.2 possessions.
- Milwaukee projects to 102.6 points per 100 possessions: 98.9 ORTG versus Indiana's 106.3 DRTG.
- Indiana projects to 110.1 points per 100: 108.8 ORTG versus Milwaukee's 111.4 DRTG; projection is 227.8 total, 5.7 below 233.5.
- McConnell, Walker, and Nembhard remain unresolved across warehouse and web checks; Nesmith is out, so rotation efficiency may shift.
- Game under 233.5 total points−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on Polymarket US
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Recent totals average 227.5 across the two teams' last seven preseason games.
- Milwaukee stayed under 233.5 in 3 of its last 4 preseason games.
- The official Pacers preview projects a young Bucks starting group, while multiple regular rotation pieces are listed as rest candidates.
- Preseason availability is unsettled: the official preview says injuries are TBA and another report lists several Bucks players day-to-day/rest.
Questions
Who won Bucks vs. Pacers?
The Bucks won 128–127 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.